West Brom 59%Draw 22%Watford 18%Expected goals 1.79 – 0.76
82%
Betarazi pick
West Brom or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: West Brom to win @ 1.81 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultWest Brom to win ✓59% · @1.81
Double chanceWest Brom or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
West Brom vs Watford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Watford travel to face West Brom on Tuesday 21 April in the Championship, with The Hawthorns the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, West Brom are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 15 matches; Watford are 20th (lower half) with 15. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
West Brom, last 5: DDDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Millwall, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Watford, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to QPR, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Watford, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for West Brom.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give West Brom 1.8 xG, Watford 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – West Brom 59%, draw 22%, Watford 18%.
Lower-risk option: West Brom or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: West Brom to win @1.81 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was West Brom or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: West Brom 1–0 Watford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
West Brom59%fair 1.68 · @1.81
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.55
Watford18%fair 5.51 · @4.30
2.56Expected goals
1.79West Brom xG
0.76Watford xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: West Brom 1.8 – 0.8 Watford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
West Brom to win✓
59%
1.68
1.81 ▲
Double chance
West Brom or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Draw no bet
West Brom (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
West Brom -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
West Brom to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
West Brom ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT West Brom / FT West Brom✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
West Brom – last 6
DDDDDL
10 Apr
vs Millwall
0–0
D
6 Apr
@ Blackburn
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Wrexham
2–2
D
11 Mar
vs Southampton
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Charlton
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Coventry
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Watford – last 6
LWDWLW
3 Apr
@ QPR
1–2
L
17 Mar
vs Wrexham
3–1
W
10 Mar
@ Sheffield Wednesday
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Bristol City
2–1
W
24 Feb
vs Ipswich
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Derby
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between West Brom and Watford.
Our pick is West Brom or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win West Brom vs Watford?
On our numbers West Brom have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Watford 18%.
How many goals will there be in West Brom vs Watford?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Watford?
Our predicted score is West Brom 1–0 Watford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is West Brom vs Watford?
West Brom vs Watford (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Hawthorns.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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