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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barnsley v Peterborough: numbers & prediction

League One · England · Oakwell
Barnsley 53%Draw 22%Peterborough 25% Expected goals 1.69 – 1.17
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultBarnsley to win ✓53% · @1.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.46

Barnsley vs Peterborough: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Peterborough travel to face Barnsley on Tuesday 17 February in the League One, with Oakwell the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Barnsley are 23rd, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 12 matches; Peterborough are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barnsley 1.7 xG, Peterborough 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barnsley 53%, draw 22%, Peterborough 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barnsley 1–1 Peterborough. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barnsley53%fair 1.90 · @1.81
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.90
Peterborough25%fair 3.95 · @3.80
2.86Expected goals
1.69Barnsley xG
1.17Peterborough xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Barnsley 1.7 – 1.2 Peterborough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BarnsleyPeterborough
Attack vs League One average-21%-22%
Goals conceded vs average+14%+18%
Our expected goals here1.391.08

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarnsley to win ✓53%1.901.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.551.48
Draw no betBarnsley (draw no bet) ✓68%1.48–
Asian handicapPeterborough +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.581.60
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.22
First team to scoreBarnsley to score first56%1.80–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barnsley / FT Barnsley ✗30%3.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.46–

Recent results

Barnsley

No recent results on record.

Peterborough

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Barnsley and Peterborough.

Barnsley vs Peterborough head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Huddersfield14851+1629
2Stockport County14824+1226
3Oxford United13751+1126
4Luton14734+624
5Plymouth14725+223
6Reading14644+1022
7Bradford13643+222
8Cambridge United14563021
9Sheffield Wednesday13553+820
10Leicester13544+319
11Mansfield Town13544+219
12Milton Keynes Dons13463+218
13Wycombe13463-218
14Leyton Orient13526+517
15Burton Albion14455-317
16Stevenage12444+416
17Notts County12354-114
18AFC Wimbledon13346-1213
19Blackpool12336-412
20Doncaster13337-812
21Wigan14329-1111
22Peterborough13247-1210
23Barnsley12237-109
24Bromley13238-209

More League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barnsley vs Peterborough?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Barnsley vs Peterborough?

On our numbers Barnsley have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Peterborough 25%.

How many goals will there be in Barnsley vs Peterborough?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barnsley vs Peterborough?

Our predicted score is Barnsley 1–1 Peterborough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Barnsley vs Peterborough?

Barnsley vs Peterborough (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Oakwell.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.