Burton Albion vs Rotherham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Burton Albion welcome Rotherham to Pirelli Stadium for a League One fixture on Tuesday 17 February (20:45 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burton Albion 1.5 xG, Rotherham 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burton Albion 47%, draw 26%, Rotherham 27%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burton Albion 1–0 Rotherham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burton Albion47%fair 2.15 · @2.14
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.25
Rotherham27%fair 3.66 · @3.40
2.51Expected goals
1.52Burton Albion xG
0.99Rotherham xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Burton Albion 1.5 – 1.0 Rotherham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Burton Albion
Rotherham
Attack vs League One average
-5%
-31%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.55
0.86
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burton Albion to win✓
47%
2.15
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.75
Draw no bet
Burton Albion (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Rotherham +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Burton Albion to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burton Albion / FT Burton Albion✓
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.76
–
Recent results
Burton Albion – last 1
D
14 Feb
vs West Ham
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Rotherham
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burton Albion and Rotherham.
What is the prediction for Burton Albion vs Rotherham?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Rotherham?
On our numbers Burton Albion have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Rotherham 27%.
How many goals will there be in Burton Albion vs Rotherham?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burton Albion vs Rotherham?
Our predicted score is Burton Albion 1–0 Rotherham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Burton Albion vs Rotherham?
Burton Albion vs Rotherham (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Pirelli Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Exeter City1
Lincoln4
Northampton0
Port Vale1
Cardiff4