Cardiff vs AFC Wimbledon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 17 February the League One brings Cardiff against AFC Wimbledon at Cardiff City Stadium. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cardiff 1.8 xG, AFC Wimbledon 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cardiff 62%, draw 22%, AFC Wimbledon 16%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cardiff 2–0 AFC Wimbledon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cardiff62%fair 1.61 · @1.40
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.60
AFC Wimbledon16%fair 6.23 · @7.20
2.69Expected goals
1.84Cardiff xG
0.85AFC Wimbledon xG
52%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cardiff 1.8 – 0.9 AFC Wimbledon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cardiff
AFC Wimbledon
Attack vs League One average
-4%
-33%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
+18%
Our expected goals here
1.69
0.85
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff to win✓
62%
1.61
1.40
Double chance
Cardiff or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Draw no bet
Cardiff (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Cardiff -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.17
First team to score
Cardiff to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Cardiff ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cardiff / FT Cardiff✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Cardiff
No recent results on record.
AFC Wimbledon
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff and AFC Wimbledon.
What is the prediction for Cardiff vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cardiff vs AFC Wimbledon?
On our numbers Cardiff have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AFC Wimbledon 16%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff vs AFC Wimbledon?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our predicted score is Cardiff 2–0 AFC Wimbledon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cardiff vs AFC Wimbledon?
Cardiff vs AFC Wimbledon (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Cardiff City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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