Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultStevenage to win ✓51% · @1.80
Double chanceStevenage or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.66
Stevenage vs Port Vale: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 17 February the League One brings Stevenage against Port Vale at Lamex Stadium. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stevenage 1.4 xG, Port Vale 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 37%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stevenage 51%, draw 28%, Port Vale 20%.
Lower-risk option: Stevenage or draw (80%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stevenage 1–1 Port Vale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stevenage51%fair 1.95 · @1.80
Draw28%fair 3.51 · @3.15
Port Vale20%fair 4.91 · @5.00
2.20Expected goals
1.36Stevenage xG
0.84Port Vale xG
48%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Stevenage 1.4 – 0.8 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Stevenage
Port Vale
Attack vs League One average
-3%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.33
0.96
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stevenage to win✓
51%
1.95
1.80
Double chance
Stevenage or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.55
Draw no bet
Stevenage (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Port Vale +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.04
First team to score
Stevenage to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stevenage / FT Stevenage✓
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.66
–
Recent results
Stevenage
No recent results on record.
Port Vale
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stevenage and Port Vale.
What is the prediction for Stevenage vs Port Vale?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Stevenage vs Port Vale?
On our numbers Stevenage have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Port Vale 20%.
How many goals will there be in Stevenage vs Port Vale?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stevenage vs Port Vale?
Our predicted score is Stevenage 1–1 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Stevenage vs Port Vale?
Stevenage vs Port Vale (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Lamex Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rotherham0
Exeter City1
Lincoln4
Northampton0
Cardiff4