Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLincoln to win ✓68% · @1.36
Double chanceLincoln or draw ✓89% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Lincoln vs Northampton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 17 February: Lincoln v Northampton in the League One, played at LNER stadium.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lincoln 2.0 xG, Northampton 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lincoln 68%, draw 21%, Northampton 11%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lincoln 2–0 Northampton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lincoln68%fair 1.47 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @4.50
Northampton11%fair 9.42 · @8.80
2.64Expected goals
1.96Lincoln xG
0.69Northampton xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lincoln 2.0 – 0.7 Northampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lincoln
Northampton
Attack vs League One average
+16%
-21%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
+15%
Our expected goals here
1.97
0.75
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lincoln to win✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Double chance
Lincoln or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Lincoln (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Lincoln -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Lincoln to score first✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Lincoln ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lincoln / FT Lincoln✓
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Lincoln
No recent results on record.
Northampton
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lincoln and Northampton.
What is the prediction for Lincoln vs Northampton?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lincoln vs Northampton?
On our numbers Lincoln have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Northampton 11%.
How many goals will there be in Lincoln vs Northampton?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lincoln vs Northampton?
Our predicted score is Lincoln 2–0 Northampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lincoln vs Northampton?
Lincoln vs Northampton (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at LNER stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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