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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AFC Wimbledon v Bradford: numbers & prediction

League One · England · The Cherry Red Records Stadium

Bradford

AFC Wimbledon 28%Draw 29%Bradford 43% Expected goals 0.85 – 1.26

80%

Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating

1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultBradford to win ✗43% · @2.30

Double chanceBradford or draw ✗72% · @1.38

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.90

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.26

AFC Wimbledon vs Bradford: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AFC Wimbledon welcome Bradford to The Cherry Red Records Stadium for a League One fixture on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT). In the table, AFC Wimbledon are 18th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Bradford are 7th (upper half) with 22.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AFC Wimbledon 0.8 xG, Bradford 1.3 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Wimbledon 28%, draw 29%, Bradford 43%.
Lower-risk option: Bradford or draw (72%) at 1.38.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.90.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Wimbledon 0–1 Bradford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AFC Wimbledon28%fair 3.53 · @2.95

Draw29%fair 3.45 · @3.30

Bradford43%fair 2.34 · @2.30

2.11Expected goals

0.85AFC Wimbledon xG

1.26Bradford xG

51%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%

1–113%

0–012%

1–010%

0–210%

1–28%

From our goals model: AFC Wimbledon 0.8 – 1.3 Bradford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	AFC Wimbledon	Bradford
Attack vs League One average	-33%	-28%
Goals conceded vs average	+18%	-42%
Our expected goals here	0.58	1.03

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Bradford to win ✗	43%	2.34	2.30
Double chance	Bradford or draw ✗	72%	1.40	1.38
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	51%	1.96	1.90
Draw no bet	Bradford (draw no bet) ✗	60%	1.66	–
Asian handicap	AFC Wimbledon +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	72%	1.38	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	65%	1.55	1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	61%	1.64	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	80%	1.25	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	1.07
First team to score	Bradford to score first ✗	52%	1.91	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	48%	2.07	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Bradford / FT Bradford ✗	26%	3.78	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.26	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between AFC Wimbledon and Bradford.

AFC Wimbledon vs Bradford head-to-head page →

League One table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield	14	8	5	1	+16	29
2	Stockport County	14	8	2	4	+12	26
3	Oxford United	13	7	5	1	+11	26
4	Luton	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	Plymouth	14	7	2	5	+2	23
6	Reading	14	6	4	4	+10	22
7	Bradford	13	6	4	3	+2	22
8	Cambridge United	14	5	6	3	0	21
9	Sheffield Wednesday	13	5	5	3	+8	20
10	Leicester	13	5	4	4	+3	19
11	Mansfield Town	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	6	3	+2	18
13	Wycombe	13	4	6	3	-2	18
14	Leyton Orient	13	5	2	6	+5	17
15	Burton Albion	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Stevenage	12	4	4	4	+4	16
17	Notts County	12	3	5	4	-1	14
18	AFC Wimbledon	13	3	4	6	-12	13
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	-4	12
20	Doncaster	13	3	3	7	-8	12
21	Wigan	14	3	2	9	-11	11
22	Peterborough	13	2	4	7	-12	10
23	Barnsley	12	2	3	7	-10	9
24	Bromley	13	2	3	8	-20	9

More League One predictions

League hub

Rotherham1

Doncaster2 137%2.65X27%3.30236%2.50 1.3–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.29 ✓

Wycombe3

Stevenage1 149%1.90X27%3.15224%4.45 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✗

Plymouth5

Cardiff2 138%3.00X24%3.60238%2.15 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.23 ✓

Bolton2

Blackpool2 164%1.53X21%4.20215%5.25 2.0–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.21 ✓

Huddersfield2

Barnsley1 163%1.78X22%3.75215%4.10 2.1–0.8xG 1XHuddersfield or draw 85%@1.22 ✓

Luton1

Burton Albion1 156%1.80X24%3.50219%4.33 1.8–1.0xG 1XLuton or draw 81%@1.21 ✓

Mansfield Town0

Lincoln2 129%3.25X26%3.40245%2.10 1.1–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

Northampton1

Leyton Orient2 133%2.90X26%3.30241%2.35 1.1–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.26 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Bradford?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Bradford?

On our numbers AFC Wimbledon have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Bradford 43%.

How many goals will there be in AFC Wimbledon vs Bradford?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AFC Wimbledon vs Bradford?

Our predicted score is AFC Wimbledon 0–1 Bradford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is AFC Wimbledon vs Bradford?

AFC Wimbledon vs Bradford (League One) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Cherry Red Records Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.