Wycombe v Stevenage Prediction & Expected Goals (21 Feb) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultWycombe to win ✓49% · @1.90

Double chanceWycombe or draw ✓76% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.05

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.01

Wycombe vs Stevenage: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Stevenage travel to face Wycombe on Saturday 21 February in the League One, with Adams Park the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Wycombe are 13th, lower half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Stevenage are 16th (lower half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wycombe 1.5 xG, Stevenage 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Wycombe 49%, draw 27%, Stevenage 24%.
Lower-risk option: Wycombe or draw (76%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wycombe 1–1 Stevenage. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wycombe49%fair 2.04 · @1.90

Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.15

Stevenage24%fair 4.19 · @4.45

2.54Expected goals

1.46Wycombe xG

1.08Stevenage xG

56%Both score

43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–012%

2–19%

0–18%

2–08%

0–08%

From our goals model: Wycombe 1.5 – 1.1 Stevenage expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Wycombe	Stevenage
Attack vs League One average	+16%	-3%
Goals conceded vs average	+17%	-9%
Our expected goals here	1.56	1.38

Wycombe

Stevenage

Attack vs League One average

+16%

-3%

Goals conceded vs average

+17%

-9%

Our expected goals here

1.56

1.38

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Wycombe to win ✓	49%	2.04	1.90
Double chance	Wycombe or draw ✓	76%	1.31	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	56%	1.80	2.05 ▲
Draw no bet	Wycombe (draw no bet) ✓	67%	1.49	–
Asian handicap	Stevenage +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	71%	1.42	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.46	1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	57%	1.77	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	77%	1.30	1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	1.05
First team to score	Wycombe to score first ✓	53%	1.89	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.30	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Wycombe / FT Wycombe ✓	27%	3.68	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.01	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Wycombe to win ✓

49%

2.04

1.90

Double chance

Wycombe or draw ✓

76%

1.31

1.20

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

56%

1.80

2.05 ▲

Draw no bet

Wycombe (draw no bet) ✓

67%

1.49

–

Asian handicap

Stevenage +1 (Asian handicap) ✗

71%

1.42

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

69%

1.46

1.45

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✗

57%

1.77

1.57

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✗

77%

1.30

1.20

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

89%

1.12

1.05

First team to score

Wycombe to score first ✓

53%

1.89

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

43%

2.30

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Wycombe / FT Wycombe ✓

27%

3.68

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

11.01

–

Recent results

Head to head

League One table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield	14	8	5	1	+16	29
2	Stockport County	14	8	2	4	+12	26
3	Oxford United	13	7	5	1	+11	26
4	Luton	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	Plymouth	14	7	2	5	+2	23
6	Reading	14	6	4	4	+10	22
7	Bradford	13	6	4	3	+2	22
8	Cambridge United	14	5	6	3	0	21
9	Sheffield Wednesday	13	5	5	3	+8	20
10	Leicester	13	5	4	4	+3	19
11	Mansfield Town	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	6	3	+2	18
13	Wycombe	13	4	6	3	-2	18
14	Leyton Orient	13	5	2	6	+5	17
15	Burton Albion	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Stevenage	12	4	4	4	+4	16
17	Notts County	12	3	5	4	-1	14
18	AFC Wimbledon	13	3	4	6	-12	13
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	-4	12
20	Doncaster	13	3	3	7	-8	12
21	Wigan	14	3	2	9	-11	11
22	Peterborough	13	2	4	7	-12	10
23	Barnsley	12	2	3	7	-10	9
24	Bromley	13	2	3	8	-20	9

Team

Pts

+16

+12

+11

+10

-2

-3

-1

-12

-4

-8

-11

-12

-10

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wycombe vs Stevenage?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Wycombe vs Stevenage?

On our numbers Wycombe have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Stevenage 24%.

How many goals will there be in Wycombe vs Stevenage?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wycombe vs Stevenage?

Our predicted score is Wycombe 1–1 Stevenage, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Wycombe vs Stevenage?

Wycombe vs Stevenage (League One) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Adams Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Wycombe v Stevenage: numbers & prediction

Wycombe

Stevenage

Under 3.5 goals

Picks by market

Wycombe vs Stevenage: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

Team ratings (Betarazi)

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Wycombe – last 1

Stevenage – last 1

Head to head

League One table

More League One predictions

Frequently asked questions