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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Northampton v Leyton Orient: numbers & prediction

League One · England · Sixfields Stadium

Leyton Orient

Northampton 33%Draw 26%Leyton Orient 41% Expected goals 1.12 – 1.39

75%

Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.26 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.26Odds

Picks by market

ResultLeyton Orient to win ✓41% · @2.35

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.31

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.40

Northampton vs Leyton Orient: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 21 February the League One brings Northampton against Leyton Orient at Sixfields Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Northampton 1.1 xG, Leyton Orient 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Northampton 33%, draw 26%, Leyton Orient 41%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Northampton 1–1 Leyton Orient. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Northampton33%fair 3.02 · @2.90

Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.30

Leyton Orient41%fair 2.46 · @2.35

2.51Expected goals

1.12Northampton xG

1.39Leyton Orient xG

55%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–111%

1–09%

1–29%

0–08%

0–28%

From our goals model: Northampton 1.1 – 1.4 Leyton Orient expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Northampton	Leyton Orient
Attack vs League One average	-21%	+1%
Goals conceded vs average	+15%	-14%
Our expected goals here	1.01	1.41

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Leyton Orient to win ✓	41%	2.46	2.35
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.36	1.31
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.81	1.80
Draw no bet	Leyton Orient (draw no bet) ✓	55%	1.82	–
Asian handicap	Northampton +1 (Asian handicap)	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.85	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	1.09
First team to score	Leyton Orient to score first ✓	51%	1.97	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.28	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Leyton Orient / FT Leyton Orient ✓	25%	3.99	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✓	9%	11.40	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Northampton and Leyton Orient.

Northampton vs Leyton Orient head-to-head page →

League One table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield	14	8	5	1	+16	29
2	Stockport County	14	8	2	4	+12	26
3	Oxford United	13	7	5	1	+11	26
4	Luton	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	Plymouth	14	7	2	5	+2	23
6	Reading	14	6	4	4	+10	22
7	Bradford	13	6	4	3	+2	22
8	Cambridge United	14	5	6	3	0	21
9	Sheffield Wednesday	13	5	5	3	+8	20
10	Leicester	13	5	4	4	+3	19
11	Mansfield Town	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	6	3	+2	18
13	Wycombe	13	4	6	3	-2	18
14	Leyton Orient	13	5	2	6	+5	17
15	Burton Albion	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Stevenage	12	4	4	4	+4	16
17	Notts County	12	3	5	4	-1	14
18	AFC Wimbledon	13	3	4	6	-12	13
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	-4	12
20	Doncaster	13	3	3	7	-8	12
21	Wigan	14	3	2	9	-11	11
22	Peterborough	13	2	4	7	-12	10
23	Barnsley	12	2	3	7	-10	9
24	Bromley	13	2	3	8	-20	9

More League One predictions

League hub

Rotherham1

Doncaster2 137%2.65X27%3.30236%2.50 1.3–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.29 ✓

Wycombe3

Stevenage1 149%1.90X27%3.15224%4.45 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✗

Plymouth5

Cardiff2 138%3.00X24%3.60238%2.15 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.23 ✓

AFC Wimbledon3

Bradford1 128%2.95X29%3.30243%2.30 0.8–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✗

Bolton2

Blackpool2 164%1.53X21%4.20215%5.25 2.0–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.21 ✓

Huddersfield2

Barnsley1 163%1.78X22%3.75215%4.10 2.1–0.8xG 1XHuddersfield or draw 85%@1.22 ✓

Luton1

Burton Albion1 156%1.80X24%3.50219%4.33 1.8–1.0xG 1XLuton or draw 81%@1.21 ✓

Mansfield Town0

Lincoln2 129%3.25X26%3.40245%2.10 1.1–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Northampton vs Leyton Orient?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Northampton vs Leyton Orient?

On our numbers Northampton have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Leyton Orient 41%.

How many goals will there be in Northampton vs Leyton Orient?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Northampton vs Leyton Orient?

Our predicted score is Northampton 1–1 Leyton Orient, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Northampton vs Leyton Orient?

Northampton vs Leyton Orient (League One) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sixfields Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.