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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bolton v Blackpool: numbers & prediction

League One · England · Toughsheet Community Stadium

Blackpool

Bolton 64%Draw 21%Blackpool 15% Expected goals 2.02 – 0.91

78%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓

9/10Rating

1.21Odds

Picks by market

ResultBolton to win ✗64% · @1.53

Double chanceBolton or draw ✓85% · @1.15

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.78

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.21

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09

Bolton vs Blackpool: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Blackpool travel to face Bolton on Saturday 21 February in the League One, with Toughsheet Community Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bolton 2.0 xG, Blackpool 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Bolton 64%, draw 21%, Blackpool 15%.
Lower-risk option: Bolton or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.78.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bolton 2–0 Blackpool. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bolton64%fair 1.56 · @1.53

Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.20

Blackpool15%fair 6.73 · @5.25

2.93Expected goals

2.02Bolton xG

0.91Blackpool xG

58%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%

1–011%

2–110%

1–110%

3–07%

3–17%

From our goals model: Bolton 2.0 – 0.9 Blackpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Bolton	Blackpool
Attack vs League One average	+27%	-3%
Goals conceded vs average	-9%	+19%
Our expected goals here	2.24	1.07

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Bolton to win ✗	64%	1.56	1.53
Double chance	Bolton or draw ✓	85%	1.17	1.15
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.72	1.78
Draw no bet	Bolton (draw no bet)	81%	1.23	–
Asian handicap	Bolton -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	63%	1.58	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	56%	1.80	1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	66%	1.52	1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.23	1.16
First team to score	Bolton to score first	65%	1.53	–
Half-time result	Bolton ahead at half-time ✗	46%	2.18	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Bolton / FT Bolton ✗	41%	2.47	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.09	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bolton and Blackpool.

Bolton vs Blackpool head-to-head page →

League One table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield	14	8	5	1	+16	29
2	Stockport County	14	8	2	4	+12	26
3	Oxford United	13	7	5	1	+11	26
4	Luton	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	Plymouth	14	7	2	5	+2	23
6	Reading	14	6	4	4	+10	22
7	Bradford	13	6	4	3	+2	22
8	Cambridge United	14	5	6	3	0	21
9	Sheffield Wednesday	13	5	5	3	+8	20
10	Leicester	13	5	4	4	+3	19
11	Mansfield Town	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	6	3	+2	18
13	Wycombe	13	4	6	3	-2	18
14	Leyton Orient	13	5	2	6	+5	17
15	Burton Albion	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Stevenage	12	4	4	4	+4	16
17	Notts County	12	3	5	4	-1	14
18	AFC Wimbledon	13	3	4	6	-12	13
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	-4	12
20	Doncaster	13	3	3	7	-8	12
21	Wigan	14	3	2	9	-11	11
22	Peterborough	13	2	4	7	-12	10
23	Barnsley	12	2	3	7	-10	9
24	Bromley	13	2	3	8	-20	9

More League One predictions

League hub

Rotherham1

Doncaster2 137%2.65X27%3.30236%2.50 1.3–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.29 ✓

Wycombe3

Stevenage1 149%1.90X27%3.15224%4.45 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✗

Plymouth5

Cardiff2 138%3.00X24%3.60238%2.15 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.23 ✓

AFC Wimbledon3

Bradford1 128%2.95X29%3.30243%2.30 0.8–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✗

Huddersfield2

Barnsley1 163%1.78X22%3.75215%4.10 2.1–0.8xG 1XHuddersfield or draw 85%@1.22 ✓

Luton1

Burton Albion1 156%1.80X24%3.50219%4.33 1.8–1.0xG 1XLuton or draw 81%@1.21 ✓

Mansfield Town0

Lincoln2 129%3.25X26%3.40245%2.10 1.1–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

Northampton1

Leyton Orient2 133%2.90X26%3.30241%2.35 1.1–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.26 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bolton vs Blackpool?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Bolton vs Blackpool?

On our numbers Bolton have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Blackpool 15%.

How many goals will there be in Bolton vs Blackpool?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Blackpool?

Our predicted score is Bolton 2–0 Blackpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Bolton vs Blackpool?

Bolton vs Blackpool (League One) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Toughsheet Community Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.