Value bet: Leyton Orient to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLeyton Orient to win ✓38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.30
AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 17 March: AFC Wimbledon v Leyton Orient in the League One, played at The Cherry Red Records Stadium. In the table, AFC Wimbledon are 18th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Leyton Orient are 14th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
AFC Wimbledon, last 4: WWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Blackpool, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Leyton Orient, last 4: WLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Stevenage, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AFC Wimbledon, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Leyton Orient.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Wimbledon 1.1 xG, Leyton Orient 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Wimbledon 35%, draw 27%, Leyton Orient 38%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Leyton Orient to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Leyton Orient. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Wimbledon35%fair 2.82 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.20
Leyton Orient38%fair 2.65 · @3.10
2.52Expected goals
1.12AFC Wimbledon xG
1.40Leyton Orient xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: AFC Wimbledon 1.1 – 1.4 Leyton Orient expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
AFC Wimbledon
Leyton Orient
Attack vs League One average
-33%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
+18%
-14%
Our expected goals here
0.86
1.45
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leyton Orient to win✓
38%
2.65
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.80
Draw no bet
Leyton Orient (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
AFC Wimbledon +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Leyton Orient to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leyton Orient / FT Leyton Orient✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.30
–
Recent results
AFC Wimbledon – last 4
WWWL
11 Mar
vs Blackpool
4–1
W
8 Mar
vs Northampton
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Bradford
3–1
W
17 Feb
@ Cardiff
1–4
L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Leyton Orient – last 4
WLWL
10 Mar
@ Stevenage
2–1
W
28 Feb
vs Barnsley
1–3
L
21 Feb
@ Northampton
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Plymouth
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Wimbledon and Leyton Orient.
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient?
On our numbers AFC Wimbledon have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Leyton Orient 38%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient?
Our predicted score is AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Leyton Orient, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient?
AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Cherry Red Records Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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