Value bet: Port Vale to win @ 3.85 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBlackpool to win ✓42% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.76
Blackpool vs Port Vale: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Port Vale travel to face Blackpool on Tuesday 17 March in the League One, with Bloomfield Road the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT.
Current form
Blackpool, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to AFC Wimbledon, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Port Vale, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bradford, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Blackpool 1.3 xG, Port Vale 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Blackpool 42%, draw 26%, Port Vale 32%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Port Vale to win @3.85 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Blackpool 1–1 Port Vale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Blackpool42%fair 2.37 · @1.97
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.30
Port Vale32%fair 3.16 · @3.85
2.52Expected goals
1.34Blackpool xG
1.18Port Vale xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Blackpool 1.3 – 1.2 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Blackpool
Port Vale
Attack vs League One average
-3%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+19%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.32
1.27
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Blackpool to win✓
42%
2.37
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Draw no bet
Blackpool (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Port Vale +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Blackpool to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Blackpool / FT Blackpool✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.76
–
Recent results
Blackpool – last 3
LDW
11 Mar
@ AFC Wimbledon
1–4
L
21 Feb
@ Bolton
2–2
D
17 Feb
vs Mansfield Town
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Port Vale – last 6
LWDWDL
11 Mar
vs Bradford
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Sunderland
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Bristol City
0–0
D
24 Feb
@ Northampton
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Reading
1–1
D
17 Feb
@ Stevenage
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Blackpool and Port Vale.
What is the prediction for Blackpool vs Port Vale?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Blackpool vs Port Vale?
On our numbers Blackpool have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Port Vale 32%.
How many goals will there be in Blackpool vs Port Vale?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Blackpool vs Port Vale?
Our predicted score is Blackpool 1–1 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Blackpool vs Port Vale?
Blackpool vs Port Vale (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Bloomfield Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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