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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bolton v Doncaster: numbers & prediction

League One · England · Toughsheet Community Stadium

Doncaster

DLWW

Bolton 64%Draw 21%Doncaster 15% Expected goals 2.06 – 0.88

79%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating

1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultBolton to win ✗64% · @1.59

Double chanceBolton or draw ✓85% · @1.15

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.60

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Bolton vs Doncaster: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 17 March the League One brings Bolton against Doncaster at Toughsheet Community Stadium. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT.

Current form

Doncaster, last 4: DLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Luton, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bolton 2.1 xG, Doncaster 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Bolton 64%, draw 21%, Doncaster 15%.
Lower-risk option: Bolton or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bolton 2–0 Doncaster. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bolton64%fair 1.57 · @1.59

Draw21%fair 4.82 · @4.00

Doncaster15%fair 6.50 · @5.20

2.94Expected goals

2.06Bolton xG

0.88Doncaster xG

58%Both score

57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%

1–011%

2–110%

1–110%

3–08%

3–17%

From our goals model: Bolton 2.1 – 0.9 Doncaster expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Bolton	Doncaster
Attack vs League One average	+27%	-18%
Goals conceded vs average	-9%	+17%
Our expected goals here	2.20	0.90

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Bolton to win ✗	64%	1.57	1.59
Double chance	Bolton or draw ✓	85%	1.18	1.15
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	58%	1.72	1.60
Draw no bet	Bolton (draw no bet)	81%	1.24	–
Asian handicap	Bolton -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	79%	1.27	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	57%	1.75	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	64%	1.56	1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	80%	1.24	1.20
First team to score	Bolton to score first ✗	66%	1.51	–
Half-time result	Bolton ahead at half-time ✗	47%	2.13	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Bolton / FT Bolton ✗	42%	2.39	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.13	–

Recent results

Bolton – last 2

21 Feb	vs Blackpool	2–2	D
17 Feb	@ Reading	1–1	D

1.5Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

100%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Doncaster – last 4

DLWW

10 Mar	vs Luton	1–1	D
3 Mar	vs Stockport County	0–1	L
21 Feb	@ Rotherham	2–1	W
17 Feb	vs Huddersfield	1–0	W

1.0Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bolton and Doncaster.

Bolton vs Doncaster head-to-head page →

League One table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield	14	8	5	1	+16	29
2	Stockport County	14	8	2	4	+12	26
3	Oxford United	13	7	5	1	+11	26
4	Luton	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	Plymouth	14	7	2	5	+2	23
6	Reading	14	6	4	4	+10	22
7	Bradford	13	6	4	3	+2	22
8	Cambridge United	14	5	6	3	0	21
9	Sheffield Wednesday	13	5	5	3	+8	20
10	Leicester	13	5	4	4	+3	19
11	Mansfield Town	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	6	3	+2	18
13	Wycombe	13	4	6	3	-2	18
14	Leyton Orient	13	5	2	6	+5	17
15	Burton Albion	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Stevenage	12	4	4	4	+4	16
17	Notts County	12	3	5	4	-1	14
18	AFC Wimbledon	13	3	4	6	-12	13
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	-4	12
20	Doncaster	13	3	3	7	-8	12
21	Wigan	14	3	2	9	-11	11
22	Peterborough	13	2	4	7	-12	10
23	Barnsley	12	2	3	7	-10	9
24	Bromley	13	2	3	8	-20	9

More League One predictions

League hub

AFC Wimbledon2

Leyton Orient4 135%2.30X27%3.20238%3.10 1.1–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✗

Blackpool3

Port Vale2 142%1.97X26%3.30232%3.85 1.3–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✗

Bradford1

Mansfield Town1 150%1.90X29%3.45221%3.90 1.3–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.28 ✓

Burton Albion1

Reading2 138%2.18X25%3.40237%3.15 1.3–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓

Huddersfield2

Lincoln2 137%3.10X26%3.25237%2.28 1.4–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✗

Luton3

Exeter City2 157%1.68X23%3.75220%4.85 1.8–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓

Peterborough5

Rotherham0 140%2.45X26%3.60234%2.62 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓

Plymouth1

Stevenage0 150%1.92X26%3.35224%4.00 1.5–1.0xG 1XPlymouth or draw 76%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bolton vs Doncaster?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Bolton vs Doncaster?

On our numbers Bolton have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Doncaster 15%.

How many goals will there be in Bolton vs Doncaster?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Doncaster?

Our predicted score is Bolton 2–0 Doncaster, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Bolton vs Doncaster?

Bolton vs Doncaster (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Toughsheet Community Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.