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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bradford v Northampton: numbers & prediction

League One · England · Valley Parade
1–0
FT
Bradford 60%Draw 24%Northampton 15% Expected goals 1.43 – 0.59
60%
Betarazi pick

Bradford to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultBradford to win ✓60% · @1.40
Double chanceBradford or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.53

Bradford vs Northampton: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 3 April the League One brings Bradford against Northampton at Valley Parade. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Bradford, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mansfield Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Northampton, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Stockport County, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Bradford, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.2 for Northampton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bradford 1.4 xG, Northampton 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bradford 60%, draw 24%, Northampton 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bradford to win (60%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bradford 1–0 Northampton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bradford60%fair 1.66 · @1.40
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @4.33
Northampton15%fair 6.48 · @6.50
2.01Expected goals
1.43Bradford xG
0.59Northampton xG
52%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%

From our goals model: Bradford 1.4 – 0.6 Northampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BradfordNorthampton
Attack vs League One average-28%-21%
Goals conceded vs average-42%+15%
Our expected goals here1.220.56

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBradford to win ✓60%1.661.40
Double chanceBradford or draw ✓85%1.181.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.921.91
Draw no betBradford (draw no bet) ✓80%1.26–
Asian handicapNorthampton +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreBradford to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bradford / FT Bradford ✓34%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.53–

Recent results

Bradford – last 5

DWWLW
17 Marvs Mansfield Town1–1D
11 Mar@ Port Vale2–0W
24 Febvs Rotherham1–0W
21 Feb@ AFC Wimbledon1–3L
17 Febvs Stockport County1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Northampton – last 6

LLLDLL
17 Mar@ Stockport County1–2L
8 Mar@ AFC Wimbledon0–1L
4 Mar@ Luton1–2L
28 Febvs Peterborough1–1D
24 Febvs Port Vale0–1L
21 Febvs Leyton Orient1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bradford and Northampton.

Bradford vs Northampton head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Huddersfield14851+1629
2Stockport County14824+1226
3Oxford United13751+1126
4Luton14734+624
5Plymouth14725+223
6Reading14644+1022
7Bradford13643+222
8Cambridge United14563021
9Sheffield Wednesday13553+820
10Leicester13544+319
11Mansfield Town13544+219
12Milton Keynes Dons13463+218
13Wycombe13463-218
14Leyton Orient13526+517
15Burton Albion14455-317
16Stevenage12444+416
17Notts County12354-114
18AFC Wimbledon13346-1213
19Blackpool12336-412
20Doncaster13337-812
21Wigan14329-1111
22Peterborough13247-1210
23Barnsley12237-109
24Bromley13238-209

More League One predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bradford vs Northampton?

Our pick is Bradford to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Bradford vs Northampton?

On our numbers Bradford have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Northampton 15%.

How many goals will there be in Bradford vs Northampton?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bradford vs Northampton?

Our predicted score is Bradford 1–0 Northampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Bradford vs Northampton?

Bradford vs Northampton (League One) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Valley Parade.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.