Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultPlymouth to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Plymouth vs Bolton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 3 April the League One brings Plymouth against Bolton at Home Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Plymouth, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Stevenage, at home. The attack is flying at 2.6 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Bolton, last 3: DDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Doncaster, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Plymouth, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.0 for Bolton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Plymouth 1.5 xG, Bolton 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Plymouth 40%, draw 24%, Bolton 36%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Plymouth 1–1 Bolton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Plymouth40%fair 2.51 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.50
Bolton36%fair 2.76 · @2.62
2.89Expected goals
1.48Plymouth xG
1.41Bolton xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Plymouth 1.5 – 1.4 Bolton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Plymouth
Bolton
Attack vs League One average
+15%
+27%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.56
1.50
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plymouth to win✗
40%
2.51
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Draw no bet
Plymouth (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Bolton +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Plymouth to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plymouth / FT Plymouth✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.65
–
Recent results
Plymouth – last 5
WWLWW
17 Mar
vs Stevenage
1–0
W
10 Mar
@ Wigan
3–0
W
24 Feb
@ Luton
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Cardiff
5–2
W
17 Feb
@ Leyton Orient
3–1
W
2.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Bolton – last 3
DDD
17 Mar
vs Doncaster
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Blackpool
2–2
D
17 Feb
@ Reading
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Plymouth and Bolton.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Plymouth vs Bolton?
On our numbers Plymouth have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bolton 36%.
How many goals will there be in Plymouth vs Bolton?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plymouth vs Bolton?
Our predicted score is Plymouth 1–1 Bolton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Plymouth vs Bolton?
Plymouth vs Bolton (League One) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Home Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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