Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultBurton Albion to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62
Burton Albion vs Barnsley: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Friday 3 April: Burton Albion v Barnsley in the League One, played at Pirelli Stadium. In the table, Burton Albion are 15th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Barnsley are 23rd (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Burton Albion, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Reading, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Barnsley, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Wigan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burton Albion 1.6 xG, Barnsley 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burton Albion 46%, draw 25%, Barnsley 29%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burton Albion 1–1 Barnsley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burton Albion46%fair 2.19 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.30
Barnsley29%fair 3.42 · @3.25
2.70Expected goals
1.58Burton Albion xG
1.11Barnsley xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Burton Albion 1.6 – 1.1 Barnsley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Burton Albion
Barnsley
Attack vs League One average
-5%
-21%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.61
0.99
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burton Albion to win✗
46%
2.19
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Draw no bet
Burton Albion (draw no bet)
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Barnsley +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Burton Albion to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burton Albion / FT Burton Albion✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.62
–
Recent results
Burton Albion – last 6
LDWDWD
17 Mar
vs Reading
1–2
L
3 Mar
@ Exeter City
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Stockport County
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Luton
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Rotherham
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs West Ham
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Barnsley – last 6
DDLWLW
17 Mar
vs Wigan
1–1
D
10 Mar
vs Cardiff
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Wycombe
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Leyton Orient
3–1
W
21 Feb
@ Huddersfield
1–2
L
17 Feb
vs Peterborough
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burton Albion and Barnsley.
What is the prediction for Burton Albion vs Barnsley?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Barnsley?
On our numbers Burton Albion have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Barnsley 29%.
How many goals will there be in Burton Albion vs Barnsley?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burton Albion vs Barnsley?
Our predicted score is Burton Albion 1–1 Barnsley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Burton Albion vs Barnsley?
Burton Albion vs Barnsley (League One) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Pirelli Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Exeter City0
Northampton0
Lincoln1
Bolton2
Rotherham0