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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lincoln v AFC Wimbledon: numbers & prediction

League One · England · LNER stadium

Lincoln

DWWWW
1–0
FT
Lincoln 68%Draw 21%AFC Wimbledon 12% Expected goals 2.02 – 0.68
68%
Betarazi pick

Lincoln to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultLincoln to win ✓68% · @1.44
Double chanceLincoln or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.74

Lincoln vs AFC Wimbledon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lincoln welcome AFC Wimbledon to LNER stadium for a League One fixture on Friday 3 April (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Lincoln, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Huddersfield, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

AFC Wimbledon, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Leyton Orient, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Lincoln, collecting 2.6 points per game to 1.8 for AFC Wimbledon.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lincoln 2.0 xG, AFC Wimbledon 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lincoln 68%, draw 21%, AFC Wimbledon 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Lincoln to win (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lincoln 2–0 AFC Wimbledon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lincoln68%fair 1.48 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @4.20
AFC Wimbledon12%fair 8.59 · @6.50
2.70Expected goals
2.02Lincoln xG
0.68AFC Wimbledon xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–014%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Lincoln 2.0 – 0.7 AFC Wimbledon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

LincolnAFC Wimbledon
Attack vs League One average+16%-33%
Goals conceded vs average-22%+18%
Our expected goals here2.020.64

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLincoln to win ✓68%1.481.44
Double chanceLincoln or draw ✓88%1.131.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.981.85
Draw no betLincoln (draw no bet) ✓85%1.17–
Asian handicapLincoln -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreLincoln to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultLincoln ahead at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lincoln / FT Lincoln ✗45%2.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.74–

Recent results

Lincoln – last 5

DWWWW
17 Mar@ Huddersfield2–2D
10 Mar@ Exeter City1–0W
7 Mar@ Cardiff2–0W
21 Feb@ Mansfield Town2–0W
17 Febvs Northampton4–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

AFC Wimbledon – last 5

LWWWL
17 Marvs Leyton Orient2–4L
11 Marvs Blackpool4–1W
8 Marvs Northampton1–0W
21 Febvs Bradford3–1W
17 Feb@ Cardiff1–4L
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lincoln and AFC Wimbledon.

Lincoln vs AFC Wimbledon head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Huddersfield14851+1629
2Stockport County14824+1226
3Oxford United13751+1126
4Luton14734+624
5Plymouth14725+223
6Reading14644+1022
7Bradford13643+222
8Cambridge United14563021
9Sheffield Wednesday13553+820
10Leicester13544+319
11Mansfield Town13544+219
12Milton Keynes Dons13463+218
13Wycombe13463-218
14Leyton Orient13526+517
15Burton Albion14455-317
16Stevenage12444+416
17Notts County12354-114
18AFC Wimbledon13346-1213
19Blackpool12336-412
20Doncaster13337-812
21Wigan14329-1111
22Peterborough13247-1210
23Barnsley12237-109
24Bromley13238-209

More League One predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lincoln vs AFC Wimbledon?

Our pick is Lincoln to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Lincoln vs AFC Wimbledon?

On our numbers Lincoln have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AFC Wimbledon 12%.

How many goals will there be in Lincoln vs AFC Wimbledon?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lincoln vs AFC Wimbledon?

Our predicted score is Lincoln 2–0 AFC Wimbledon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Lincoln vs AFC Wimbledon?

Lincoln vs AFC Wimbledon (League One) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at LNER stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.