Rotherham v Stevenage Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultStevenage to win ✗44% · @2.10

Double chanceStevenage or draw ✓72% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.88

Rotherham vs Stevenage: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Friday 3 April: Rotherham v Stevenage in the League One, played at Aesseal New York Stadium.

Current form

Rotherham, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Peterborough, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Stevenage, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Plymouth, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Stevenage, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Rotherham.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rotherham 0.9 xG, Stevenage 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Rotherham 28%, draw 28%, Stevenage 44%.
Lower-risk option: Stevenage or draw (72%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Stevenage or draw (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rotherham 0–1 Stevenage. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rotherham28%fair 3.60 · @3.40

Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.00

Stevenage44%fair 2.26 · @2.10

2.23Expected goals

0.94Rotherham xG

1.29Stevenage xG

51%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%

1–113%

0–011%

1–010%

0–29%

1–28%

From our goals model: Rotherham 0.9 – 1.3 Stevenage expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Rotherham	Stevenage
Attack vs League One average	-31%	-3%
Goals conceded vs average	+10%	-9%
Our expected goals here	0.92	1.29

Rotherham

Stevenage

Attack vs League One average

-31%

-3%

Goals conceded vs average

+10%

-9%

Our expected goals here

0.92

1.29

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Stevenage to win ✗	44%	2.26	2.10
Double chance	Stevenage or draw ✓	72%	1.38	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	51%	1.95	1.95
Draw no bet	Stevenage (draw no bet)	61%	1.63	–
Asian handicap	Rotherham +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	65%	1.53	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	81%	1.23	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.08	–
First team to score	Stevenage to score first ✗	52%	1.94	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	47%	2.14	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Stevenage / FT Stevenage ✗	26%	3.88	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	11.88	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Stevenage to win ✗

44%

2.26

2.10

Double chance

Stevenage or draw ✓

72%

1.38

1.30

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✗

51%

1.95

Draw no bet

Stevenage (draw no bet)

61%

1.63

–

Asian handicap

Rotherham +1 (Asian handicap) ✓

73%

1.37

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✗

65%

1.53

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✓

61%

1.63

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

81%

1.23

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

92%

1.08

–

First team to score

Stevenage to score first ✗

52%

1.94

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✓

47%

2.14

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Stevenage / FT Stevenage ✗

26%

3.88

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–2 ✗

11.88

–

Recent results

Head to head

League One table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield	14	8	5	1	+16	29
2	Stockport County	14	8	2	4	+12	26
3	Oxford United	13	7	5	1	+11	26
4	Luton	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	Plymouth	14	7	2	5	+2	23
6	Reading	14	6	4	4	+10	22
7	Bradford	13	6	4	3	+2	22
8	Cambridge United	14	5	6	3	0	21
9	Sheffield Wednesday	13	5	5	3	+8	20
10	Leicester	13	5	4	4	+3	19
11	Mansfield Town	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	6	3	+2	18
13	Wycombe	13	4	6	3	-2	18
14	Leyton Orient	13	5	2	6	+5	17
15	Burton Albion	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Stevenage	12	4	4	4	+4	16
17	Notts County	12	3	5	4	-1	14
18	AFC Wimbledon	13	3	4	6	-12	13
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	-4	12
20	Doncaster	13	3	3	7	-8	12
21	Wigan	14	3	2	9	-11	11
22	Peterborough	13	2	4	7	-12	10
23	Barnsley	12	2	3	7	-10	9
24	Bromley	13	2	3	8	-20	9

Team

Pts

+16

+12

+11

+10

-2

-3

-1

-12

-4

-8

-11

-12

-10

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rotherham vs Stevenage?

Our pick is Stevenage or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Rotherham vs Stevenage?

On our numbers Rotherham have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Stevenage 44%.

How many goals will there be in Rotherham vs Stevenage?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rotherham vs Stevenage?

Our predicted score is Rotherham 0–1 Stevenage, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Rotherham vs Stevenage?

Rotherham vs Stevenage (League One) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Aesseal New York Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

17 Mar	@ Peterborough	0–5	L
7 Mar	@ Huddersfield	0–1	L
3 Mar	vs Mansfield Town	0–0	D
24 Feb	@ Bradford	0–1	L
21 Feb	vs Doncaster	1–2	L
17 Feb	@ Burton Albion	0–1	L

17 Mar	@ Plymouth	0–1	L
10 Mar	vs Leyton Orient	1–2	L
21 Feb	@ Wycombe	1–3	L
17 Feb	vs Port Vale	2–1	W

Rotherham v Stevenage: numbers & prediction

Rotherham

Stevenage

Stevenage or draw

Picks by market

Rotherham vs Stevenage: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

Team ratings (Betarazi)

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Rotherham – last 6

Stevenage – last 4

Head to head

League One table

More League One predictions

Frequently asked questions