Value bet: Metz to win @ 3.35 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStade Brestois 29 to win ✓42% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.88
Metz vs Stade Brestois 29: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stade Brestois 29 travel to face Metz on Sunday 1 March in the Ligue 1, with Stade Saint-Symphorien the venue – the ball rolls at 17:15 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Metz 1.5 xG, Stade Brestois 29 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Metz 34%, draw 24%, Stade Brestois 29 42%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Metz to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metz 1–1 Stade Brestois 29. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Metz34%fair 2.98 · @3.35
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.30
Stade Brestois 2942%fair 2.38 · @2.12
3.09Expected goals
1.54Metz xG
1.55Stade Brestois 29 xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Metz 1.5 – 1.5 Stade Brestois 29 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Brestois 29 to win✓
42%
2.38
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.73
Draw no bet
Stade Brestois 29 (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Metz +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.10
First team to score
Stade Brestois 29 to score first✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Brestois 29 / FT Stade Brestois 29✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.88
–
Recent results
Metz – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Auxerre
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Stade Brestois 29 – last 1
W
20 Feb
vs Marseille
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metz and Stade Brestois 29.
What is the prediction for Metz vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Metz vs Stade Brestois 29?
On our numbers Metz have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stade Brestois 29 42%.
How many goals will there be in Metz vs Stade Brestois 29?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metz vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our predicted score is Metz 1–1 Stade Brestois 29, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Metz vs Stade Brestois 29?
Metz vs Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Saint-Symphorien.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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