15:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Paris FC v Nice in the Ligue 1, played at Stade Jean Bouin. In the table, Paris FC are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 10 matches; Nice are 6th (upper half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paris FC 1.5 xG, Nice 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paris FC 41%, draw 27%, Nice 33%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paris FC 1–1 Nice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paris FC41%fair 2.44 · @2.34
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.25
Nice33%fair 3.07 · @3.00
2.69Expected goals
1.47Paris FC xG
1.22Nice xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Paris FC 1.5 – 1.2 Nice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris FC to win✓
41%
2.44
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Draw no bet
Paris FC (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Nice +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.11
First team to score
Paris FC to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris FC / FT Paris FC✓
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
Paris FC
No recent results on record.
Nice – last 2
DL
22 Feb
vs Lorient
3–3
D
15 Feb
@ Lyon
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paris FC and Nice.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Paris FC vs Nice?
On our numbers Paris FC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Nice 33%.
How many goals will there be in Paris FC vs Nice?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paris FC vs Nice?
Our predicted score is Paris FC 1–1 Nice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Paris FC vs Nice?
Paris FC vs Nice (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Jean Bouin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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