Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAuxerre to win56% · @1.64
Double chanceAuxerre or draw79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.25
Auxerre vs Angers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Angers travel to face Auxerre on Sunday 3 May in the Ligue 1, with Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps the venue – the ball rolls at 16:15 WAT. In the table, Auxerre are 14th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Angers are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Auxerre, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Monaco, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Angers, last 4: DLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lyon, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Auxerre, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Angers.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Auxerre 1.7 xG, Angers 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Auxerre 56%, draw 23%, Angers 21%.
Lower-risk option: Auxerre or draw (79%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Auxerre 1–1 Angers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Auxerre56%fair 1.78 · @1.64
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.60
Angers21%fair 4.77 · @5.50
2.81Expected goals
1.74Auxerre xG
1.07Angers xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Auxerre 1.7 – 1.1 Angers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auxerre to win
56%
1.78
1.64
Double chance
Auxerre or draw
79%
1.27
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.78
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Auxerre (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Angers +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.97
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Auxerre to score first
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Auxerre / FT Auxerre
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Auxerre – last 6
DDLDLW
19 Apr
@ Monaco
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Le Havre
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Marseille
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Lorient
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Rennes
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ Metz
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Angers – last 4
DLLL
5 Apr
vs Lyon
0–0
D
20 Mar
@ Lens
1–5
L
22 Feb
vs Lille
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Lorient
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Auxerre and Angers.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Auxerre vs Angers?
On our numbers Auxerre have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Angers 21%.
How many goals will there be in Auxerre vs Angers?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Angers?
Our predicted score is Auxerre 1–1 Angers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Auxerre vs Angers?
Auxerre vs Angers (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
