Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Strasbourg to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultStrasbourg to win40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.57
Strasbourg vs Toulouse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:15 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Strasbourg v Toulouse in the Ligue 1, played at Stade de la Meinau. In the table, Strasbourg are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Toulouse are 12th (lower half) with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Strasbourg, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rayo Vallecano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Toulouse, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Lens, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 4 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Strasbourg, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.6 for Toulouse.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Strasbourg 1.6 xG, Toulouse 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Strasbourg 40%, draw 24%, Toulouse 36%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Strasbourg to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Strasbourg 1–1 Toulouse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Strasbourg40%fair 2.51 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.45
Toulouse36%fair 2.74 · @2.44
3.09Expected goals
1.59Strasbourg xG
1.49Toulouse xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Strasbourg 1.6 – 1.5 Toulouse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Strasbourg to win
40%
2.51
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
63%
1.58
1.65
Draw no bet
Strasbourg (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Toulouse +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.80
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.12
First team to score
Strasbourg to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Strasbourg / FT Strasbourg
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Strasbourg – last 6
LWLWLD
30 Apr
@ Rayo Vallecano
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Lorient
3–2
W
22 Apr
vs Nice
0–2
L
16 Apr
vs FSV Mainz 05
4–0
W
9 Apr
@ FSV Mainz 05
0–2
L
19 Mar
vs HNK Rijeka
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Toulouse – last 5
LLLWL
21 Apr
@ Lens
1–4
L
17 Apr
@ Lens
2–3
L
3 Apr
@ Paris Saint Germain
1–3
L
15 Mar
@ Metz
4–3
W
15 Feb
@ Le Havre
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Strasbourg and Toulouse.
What is the prediction for Strasbourg vs Toulouse?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Strasbourg vs Toulouse?
On our numbers Strasbourg have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Toulouse 36%.
How many goals will there be in Strasbourg vs Toulouse?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Strasbourg vs Toulouse?
Our predicted score is Strasbourg 1–1 Toulouse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Strasbourg vs Toulouse?
Strasbourg vs Toulouse (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Meinau.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
