Paris FC 49%Draw 24%Stade Brestois 29 27%Expected goals 1.67 – 1.17
75%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultParis FC to win49% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.50
Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paris FC welcome Stade Brestois 29 to Stade Jean Bouin for a Ligue 1 fixture on Sunday 3 May (16:15 WAT). In the table, Paris FC are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 10 matches; Stade Brestois 29 are 9th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Paris FC, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Monaco, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Stade Brestois 29, last 4: DWWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Lens, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paris FC 1.7 xG, Stade Brestois 29 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paris FC 49%, draw 24%, Stade Brestois 29 27%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paris FC 1–1 Stade Brestois 29. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paris FC49%fair 2.06 · @1.97
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.45
Stade Brestois 2927%fair 3.70 · @3.70
2.84Expected goals
1.67Paris FC xG
1.17Stade Brestois 29 xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Paris FC 1.7 – 1.2 Stade Brestois 29 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris FC to win
49%
2.06
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.70
1.70
Draw no bet
Paris FC (draw no bet)
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Stade Brestois 29 +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Paris FC to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris FC / FT Paris FC
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Paris FC – last 5
WDWDW
10 Apr
vs Monaco
4–1
W
5 Apr
@ Lorient
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Le Havre
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Strasbourg
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Nice
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Stade Brestois 29 – last 4
DWWW
24 Apr
vs Lens
3–3
D
8 Mar
vs Le Havre
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Metz
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Marseille
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paris FC and Stade Brestois 29.
What is the prediction for Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29?
On our numbers Paris FC have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stade Brestois 29 27%.
How many goals will there be in Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our predicted score is Paris FC 1–1 Stade Brestois 29, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29?
Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Jean Bouin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
