Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultLyon to win47% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.49
Lyon vs Rennes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Lyon v Rennes in the Ligue 1, played at Parc Olympique Lyonnais. In the table, Lyon are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Rennes are 8th (upper half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lyon, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Angers, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Rennes, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Metz, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rennes, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Lyon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lyon 1.8 xG, Rennes 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lyon 47%, draw 23%, Rennes 30%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lyon 1–1 Rennes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lyon47%fair 2.13 · @2.18
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.55
Rennes30%fair 3.33 · @3.05
3.08Expected goals
1.80Lyon xG
1.28Rennes xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lyon 1.8 – 1.3 Rennes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon to win
47%
2.13
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
63%
1.58
1.53
Draw no bet
Lyon (draw no bet)
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Rennes +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.18
First team to score
Lyon to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon / FT Lyon
30%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Lyon – last 6
DLLDDL
5 Apr
@ Angers
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Monaco
1–2
L
19 Mar
vs Celta Vigo
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Le Havre
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Celta Vigo
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Strasbourg
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rennes – last 5
DLWWW
22 Mar
vs Metz
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Lille
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Nice
4–0
W
22 Feb
@ Auxerre
3–0
W
13 Feb
vs Paris Saint Germain
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lyon and Rennes.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lyon vs Rennes?
On our numbers Lyon have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rennes 30%.
How many goals will there be in Lyon vs Rennes?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Rennes?
Our predicted score is Lyon 1–1 Rennes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Lyon vs Rennes?
Lyon vs Rennes (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Parc Olympique Lyonnais.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
