Worksop Town v Buxton Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBuxton to win ✓39% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.01

Worksop Town vs Buxton: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Buxton travel to face Worksop Town on Monday 6 April in the National League North, with Sandy Lane Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Worksop Town are 14th, lower half, on 20 points after 15 matches; Buxton are 7th (upper half) with 27.

Current form

Worksop Town, last 4: DWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Alfreton Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Buxton, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Macclesfield, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Worksop Town 1.6 xG, Buxton 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Worksop Town 37%, draw 23%, Buxton 39%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Worksop Town 1–1 Buxton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Worksop Town37%fair 2.70 · @2.55

Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.40

Buxton39%fair 2.54 · @2.40

3.21Expected goals

1.61Worksop Town xG

1.60Buxton xG

65%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–18%

1–28%

2–27%

1–06%

0–16%

From our goals model: Worksop Town 1.6 – 1.6 Buxton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Buxton to win ✓	39%	2.54	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.31	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	65%	1.54	1.50
Draw no bet	Buxton (draw no bet) ✓	52%	1.94	–
Asian handicap	Buxton +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	59%	1.68	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	62%	1.61	1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	–
First team to score	Worksop Town to score first ✗	48%	2.08	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	38%	2.62	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Worksop Town / FT Worksop Town ✗	23%	4.38	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✓	8%	12.01	–

Worksop Town – last 4

DWLL

3 Apr	@ Alfreton Town	1–1	D
10 Mar	@ Bedford Town	2–0	W
24 Feb	@ South Shields	1–3	L
21 Feb	@ Curzon Ashton	1–3	L

1.3Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

75%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Buxton – last 6

LWWLLD

3 Apr	vs Macclesfield	2–4	L
17 Mar	@ Leamington	1–0	W
10 Mar	@ Darlington 1883	2–0	W
24 Feb	vs King's Lynn Town	1–2	L
21 Feb	vs AFC Fylde	0–3	L
17 Feb	@ Southport	0–0	D

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Worksop Town vs Buxton?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Worksop Town vs Buxton?

On our numbers Worksop Town have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Buxton 39%.

How many goals will there be in Worksop Town vs Buxton?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Worksop Town vs Buxton?

Our predicted score is Worksop Town 1–1 Buxton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Worksop Town vs Buxton?

Worksop Town vs Buxton (National League North) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sandy Lane Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Worksop Town v Buxton: numbers & prediction