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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Padova v Bari: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Italy · Stadio Euganeo

Bari

Padova 38%Draw 28%Bari 34% Expected goals 1.11 – 1.09

64%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating

1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultPadova to win ✗38% · @2.30

Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.34

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.41

Padova vs Bari: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 21 February: Padova v Bari in the Serie B, played at Stadio Euganeo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Padova 1.1 xG, Bari 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Padova 38%, draw 28%, Bari 34%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Padova 1–1 Bari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Padova38%fair 2.65 · @2.30

Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.10

Bari34%fair 2.94 · @3.10

2.20Expected goals

1.11Padova xG

1.09Bari xG

51%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–112%

0–011%

2–17%

1–27%

From our goals model: Padova 1.1 – 1.1 Bari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Padova to win ✗	38%	2.65	2.30
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	72%	1.39	1.34
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	51%	1.94	2.00
Draw no bet	Padova (draw no bet)	53%	1.90	–
Asian handicap	Bari +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	64%	1.56	1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.63	1.52
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	80%	1.24	1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	1.05
First team to score	Padova to score first	45%	2.23	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	47%	2.11	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Padova / FT Padova ✗	20%	4.94	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	7%	13.41	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Padova and Bari.

Padova vs Bari head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	11	8	3	0	+12	27
2	Modena	11	7	2	2	+10	23
3	Ascoli	11	5	5	1	+10	20
4	Mantova	11	5	4	2	+4	19
5	Avellino	11	4	4	3	+5	16
6	Benevento	11	4	4	3	+4	16
7	Hellas Verona	11	4	4	3	+6	16
8	Pisa	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Cremonese	11	4	3	4	+2	15
10	Padova	11	4	3	4	-1	15
11	Cesena	11	3	6	2	-2	15
12	Sudtirol	11	3	6	2	+1	15
13	Juve Stabia	11	4	4	3	+1	12
14	Arezzo	11	3	2	6	-11	11
15	Sampdoria	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Virtus Entella	11	2	4	5	-3	10
17	Carrarese	11	3	1	7	-5	10
18	Vicenza Virtus	11	2	3	6	-10	9
19	Empoli	11	2	3	6	-7	9
20	Catanzaro	11	1	3	7	-12	6

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Venezia3

Pescara2 159%1.38X22%5.00219%7.00 1.8–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.60 ✗

Mantova2

Sampdoria1 142%2.85X27%3.00232%2.55 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓

Virtus Entella1

Catanzaro3 138%2.45X26%3.10235%2.87 1.3–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✗

Palermo3

Sudtirol0 161%1.73X22%3.60217%4.60 1.8–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.27 ✓

Cesena2

Spezia3 135%2.20X26%3.20239%3.30 1.0–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗

–

Carrarese

Monza 130%3.60X25%3.40245%2.00 1.2–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.26

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Padova vs Bari?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Padova vs Bari?

On our numbers Padova have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Bari 34%.

How many goals will there be in Padova vs Bari?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Padova vs Bari?

Our predicted score is Padova 1–1 Bari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Padova vs Bari?

Padova vs Bari (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Euganeo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.