Value bet: Spezia to win @ 3.30 – our chance 39% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSpezia to win ✓39% · @3.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.44
Cesena vs Spezia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Spezia travel to face Cesena on Saturday 21 February in the Serie B, with Stadio Dino Manuzzi the venue – the ball rolls at 17:15 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cesena 1.0 xG, Spezia 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cesena 35%, draw 26%, Spezia 39%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Spezia to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cesena 1–1 Spezia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cesena35%fair 2.85 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.20
Spezia39%fair 2.58 · @3.30
2.40Expected goals
1.04Cesena xG
1.36Spezia xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Cesena 1.0 – 1.4 Spezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spezia to win✓
39%
2.58
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Spezia (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Cesena +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
Spezia to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spezia / FT Spezia✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.44
–
Recent results
Cesena
No recent results on record.
Spezia – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Frosinone
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cesena and Spezia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cesena vs Spezia?
On our numbers Cesena have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Spezia 39%.
How many goals will there be in Cesena vs Spezia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cesena vs Spezia?
Our predicted score is Cesena 1–1 Spezia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cesena vs Spezia?
Cesena vs Spezia (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Dino Manuzzi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bari1
Venezia3
Pescara2
Monza