Value bet: Carrarese to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMonza to win45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.47
Carrarese vs Monza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Carrarese welcome Monza to Stadio dei Marmi for a Serie B fixture on Saturday 21 February (19:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Carrarese 1.2 xG, Monza 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Carrarese 30%, draw 25%, Monza 45%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Carrarese to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carrarese 1–1 Monza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Carrarese30%fair 3.34 · @3.60
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.40
Monza45%fair 2.24 · @2.00
2.58Expected goals
1.19Carrarese xG
1.39Monza xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Carrarese 1.2 – 1.4 Monza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monza to win
45%
2.24
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.89
1.85
Draw no bet
Monza (draw no bet)
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Carrarese +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
Monza to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monza / FT Monza
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.47
–
Recent results
Carrarese
No recent results on record.
Monza – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Juve Stabia
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carrarese and Monza.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Carrarese vs Monza?
On our numbers Carrarese have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Monza 45%.
How many goals will there be in Carrarese vs Monza?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carrarese vs Monza?
Our predicted score is Carrarese 1–1 Monza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Carrarese vs Monza?
Carrarese vs Monza (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio dei Marmi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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