Value bet: Mantova to win @ 2.85 – our chance 42% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMantova to win ✓42% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.92
Mantova vs Sampdoria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sampdoria travel to face Mantova on Saturday 21 February in the Serie B, with Stadio Danilo Martelli the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Mantova are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Sampdoria are 15th (lower half) with 11.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mantova 1.5 xG, Sampdoria 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mantova 42%, draw 27%, Sampdoria 32%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.87.
Price worth noting: Mantova to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mantova 1–1 Sampdoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mantova42%fair 2.40 · @2.85
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.00
Sampdoria32%fair 3.14 · @2.55
2.50Expected goals
1.48Mantova xG
1.02Sampdoria xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Mantova 1.5 – 1.0 Sampdoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mantova to win✓
42%
2.40
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.87
Draw no bet
Mantova (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Sampdoria +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Mantova to score first✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mantova / FT Mantova✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Mantova
No recent results on record.
Sampdoria
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mantova and Sampdoria.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mantova vs Sampdoria?
On our numbers Mantova have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sampdoria 32%.
How many goals will there be in Mantova vs Sampdoria?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Sampdoria?
Our predicted score is Mantova 1–1 Sampdoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mantova vs Sampdoria?
Mantova vs Sampdoria (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Danilo Martelli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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