Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPalermo to win ✓61% · @1.73
Double chancePalermo or draw ✓83% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Palermo vs Sudtirol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Palermo welcome Sudtirol to Stadio Renzo Barbera for a Serie B fixture on Saturday 21 February (15:00 WAT). In the table, Palermo are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 11 matches; Sudtirol are 12th (lower half) with 15. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Palermo 1.8 xG, Sudtirol 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Palermo 61%, draw 22%, Sudtirol 17%.
Lower-risk option: Palermo or draw (83%) at 1.19.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palermo 1–0 Sudtirol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Palermo61%fair 1.64 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.60
Sudtirol17%fair 6.01 · @4.60
2.63Expected goals
1.82Palermo xG
0.82Sudtirol xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Palermo 1.8 – 0.8 Sudtirol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palermo to win✓
61%
1.64
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Palermo or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Palermo (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Palermo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.71
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
Palermo to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Palermo ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palermo / FT Palermo✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Palermo
No recent results on record.
Sudtirol – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Bari
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palermo and Sudtirol.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Palermo vs Sudtirol?
On our numbers Palermo have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sudtirol 17%.
How many goals will there be in Palermo vs Sudtirol?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palermo vs Sudtirol?
Our predicted score is Palermo 1–0 Sudtirol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Palermo vs Sudtirol?
Palermo vs Sudtirol (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renzo Barbera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bari1
Venezia3
Pescara2
Spezia3
Monza