Value bet: Mantova to win @ 2.46 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMantova to win ✓44% · @2.46
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Mantova vs Cesena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mantova welcome Cesena to Stadio Danilo Martelli for a Serie B fixture on Tuesday 17 March (20:00 WAT). In the table, Mantova are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Cesena are 11th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Mantova, last 4: WLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Juve Stabia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mantova 1.5 xG, Cesena 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mantova 44%, draw 25%, Cesena 31%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Mantova to win @2.46 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mantova 1–1 Cesena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mantova44%fair 2.26 · @2.46
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.35
Cesena31%fair 3.28 · @2.74
2.61Expected goals
1.54Mantova xG
1.07Cesena xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mantova 1.5 – 1.1 Cesena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mantova to win✓
44%
2.26
2.46 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Draw no bet
Mantova (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Cesena +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
Mantova to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mantova / FT Mantova✓
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Mantova – last 4
WLDW
8 Mar
vs Juve Stabia
2–0
W
4 Mar
@ Palermo
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Carrarese
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Sampdoria
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cesena – last 2
LL
3 Mar
vs Monza
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Spezia
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mantova and Cesena.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Mantova vs Cesena?
On our numbers Mantova have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cesena 31%.
How many goals will there be in Mantova vs Cesena?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Cesena?
Our predicted score is Mantova 1–1 Cesena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mantova vs Cesena?
Mantova vs Cesena (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Danilo Martelli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Venezia3
Spezia1
Reggiana0
Monza0