Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMonza to win ✗53% · @1.68
Double chanceMonza or draw ✓77% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Reggiana vs Monza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Reggiana welcome Monza to MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore for a Serie B fixture on Tuesday 17 March (20:00 WAT).
Current form
Reggiana, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Sudtirol, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Monza, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cesena, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Monza, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.7 for Reggiana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Reggiana 1.2 xG, Monza 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Reggiana 23%, draw 24%, Monza 53%.
Lower-risk option: Monza or draw (77%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Reggiana 1–1 Monza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Reggiana23%fair 4.29 · @5.25
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.50
Monza53%fair 1.90 · @1.68
2.76Expected goals
1.19Reggiana xG
1.56Monza xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Reggiana 1.2 – 1.6 Monza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monza to win✗
53%
1.90
1.68
Double chance
Monza or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Monza (draw no bet)
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Reggiana +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.07
First team to score
Monza to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monza / FT Monza✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.80
–
Recent results
Reggiana – last 3
LDD
3 Mar
vs Sudtirol
0–4
L
22 Feb
vs Avellino
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Empoli
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Monza – last 3
WWW
3 Mar
@ Cesena
3–1
W
27 Feb
vs Virtus Entella
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Juve Stabia
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Reggiana and Monza.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Reggiana vs Monza?
On our numbers Reggiana have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Monza 53%.
How many goals will there be in Reggiana vs Monza?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Reggiana vs Monza?
Our predicted score is Reggiana 1–1 Monza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Reggiana vs Monza?
Reggiana vs Monza (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Palermo2
Juve Stabia2
Venezia3
Padova1
Mantova3
Cesena0
Spezia1
Empoli1