Palermo v Juve Stabia Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPalermo to win ✗59% · @1.62

Double chancePalermo or draw ✓82% · @1.13

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.00

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24

Palermo vs Juve Stabia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Tuesday 17 March: Palermo v Juve Stabia in the Serie B, played at Stadio Renzo Barbera. In the table, Palermo are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 11 matches; Juve Stabia are 13th (lower half) with 12. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Palermo, last 4: WWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Carrarese, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Juve Stabia, last 4: LDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Mantova, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Palermo, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.3 for Juve Stabia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Palermo 1.8 xG, Juve Stabia 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Palermo 59%, draw 23%, Juve Stabia 18%.
Lower-risk option: Palermo or draw (82%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palermo 1–0 Juve Stabia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Palermo59%fair 1.69 · @1.62

Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.65

Juve Stabia18%fair 5.71 · @5.60

2.67Expected goals

1.79Palermo xG

0.89Juve Stabia xG

57%Both score

47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%

2–011%

1–111%

2–110%

0–07%

3–07%

From our goals model: Palermo 1.8 – 0.9 Juve Stabia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Palermo to win ✗	59%	1.69	1.62
Double chance	Palermo or draw ✓	82%	1.21	1.13
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	57%	1.77	2.00 ▲
Draw no bet	Palermo (draw no bet)	77%	1.29	–
Asian handicap	Juve Stabia +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.90	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	74%	1.36	1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	1.08
First team to score	Palermo to score first ✗	62%	1.61	–
Half-time result	Palermo ahead at half-time ✗	42%	2.38	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Palermo / FT Palermo ✗	37%	2.74	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.24	–

Palermo – last 4

WWLW

8 Mar	@ Carrarese	1–0	W
4 Mar	vs Mantova	2–1	W
1 Mar	@ Pescara	1–2	L
21 Feb	vs Sudtirol	3–0	W

1.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

75%Over 2.5

Juve Stabia – last 4

LDLL

8 Mar	@ Mantova	0–2	L
4 Mar	vs Sampdoria	1–1	D
22 Feb	vs Modena	1–2	L
15 Feb	@ Monza	1–2	L

0.8Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

75%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	11	8	3	0	+12	27
2	Modena	11	7	2	2	+10	23
3	Ascoli	11	5	5	1	+10	20
4	Mantova	11	5	4	2	+4	19
5	Avellino	11	4	4	3	+5	16
6	Benevento	11	4	4	3	+4	16
7	Hellas Verona	11	4	4	3	+6	16
8	Pisa	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Cremonese	11	4	3	4	+2	15
10	Padova	11	4	3	4	-1	15
11	Cesena	11	3	6	2	-2	15
12	Sudtirol	11	3	6	2	+1	15
13	Juve Stabia	11	4	4	3	+1	12
14	Arezzo	11	3	2	6	-11	11
15	Sampdoria	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Virtus Entella	11	2	4	5	-3	10
17	Carrarese	11	3	1	7	-5	10
18	Vicenza Virtus	11	2	3	6	-10	9
19	Empoli	11	2	3	6	-7	9
20	Catanzaro	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Team

Pts

+12

+10

+10

-1

-2

-11

-7

-3

-5

-10

-7

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Palermo vs Juve Stabia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Palermo vs Juve Stabia?

On our numbers Palermo have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Juve Stabia 18%.

How many goals will there be in Palermo vs Juve Stabia?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Palermo vs Juve Stabia?

Our predicted score is Palermo 1–0 Juve Stabia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Palermo vs Juve Stabia?

Palermo vs Juve Stabia (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renzo Barbera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Palermo v Juve Stabia: numbers & prediction