Cesena v Sudtirol Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCesena to win ✗42% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.98

Cesena vs Sudtirol: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 6 April the Serie B brings Cesena against Sudtirol at Stadio Dino Manuzzi. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT. In the table, Cesena are 11th, lower half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Sudtirol are 12th (lower half) with 15. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Cesena, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Mantova, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Sudtirol, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Frosinone, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sudtirol, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for Cesena.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cesena 1.3 xG, Sudtirol 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Cesena 42%, draw 27%, Sudtirol 31%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cesena 1–1 Sudtirol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cesena42%fair 2.40 · @2.20

Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.25

Sudtirol31%fair 3.22 · @3.25

2.38Expected goals

1.28Cesena xG

1.10Sudtirol xG

57%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–110%

0–09%

2–18%

2–08%

From our goals model: Cesena 1.3 – 1.1 Sudtirol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Cesena to win ✗	42%	2.40	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	73%	1.37	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	57%	1.76	1.80
Draw no bet	Cesena (draw no bet)	57%	1.75	–
Asian handicap	Sudtirol +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	77%	1.31	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.46	1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	56%	1.77	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	1.08
First team to score	Cesena to score first	49%	2.05	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.21	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Cesena / FT Cesena ✗	23%	4.28	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	11.98	–

Cesena – last 3

LLL

17 Mar	@ Mantova	0–3	L
3 Mar	vs Monza	1–3	L
21 Feb	vs Spezia	2–3	L

1.0Scored / game

3.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Sudtirol – last 6

LLDWLW

22 Mar	vs Frosinone	1–3	L
18 Mar	@ Avellino	2–3	L
15 Mar	vs Pescara	0–0	D
3 Mar	@ Reggiana	4–0	W
21 Feb	@ Palermo	0–3	L
15 Feb	@ Bari	2–1	W

1.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	11	8	3	0	+12	27
2	Modena	11	7	2	2	+10	23
3	Ascoli	11	5	5	1	+10	20
4	Mantova	11	5	4	2	+4	19
5	Avellino	11	4	4	3	+5	16
6	Benevento	11	4	4	3	+4	16
7	Hellas Verona	11	4	4	3	+6	16
8	Pisa	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Cremonese	11	4	3	4	+2	15
10	Padova	11	4	3	4	-1	15
11	Cesena	11	3	6	2	-2	15
12	Sudtirol	11	3	6	2	+1	15
13	Juve Stabia	11	4	4	3	+1	12
14	Arezzo	11	3	2	6	-11	11
15	Sampdoria	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Virtus Entella	11	2	4	5	-3	10
17	Carrarese	11	3	1	7	-5	10
18	Vicenza Virtus	11	2	3	6	-10	9
19	Empoli	11	2	3	6	-7	9
20	Catanzaro	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Team

Pts

+12

+10

+10

-1

-2

-11

-7

-3

-5

-10

-7

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cesena vs Sudtirol?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Cesena vs Sudtirol?

On our numbers Cesena have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sudtirol 31%.

How many goals will there be in Cesena vs Sudtirol?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cesena vs Sudtirol?

Our predicted score is Cesena 1–1 Sudtirol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Cesena vs Sudtirol?

Cesena vs Sudtirol (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Dino Manuzzi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Cesena v Sudtirol: numbers & prediction