Mantova v Virtus Entella Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMantova to win ✓51% · @1.97

Double chanceMantova or draw ✓76% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.77

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52

Mantova vs Virtus Entella: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Virtus Entella travel to face Mantova on Monday 6 April in the Serie B, with Stadio Danilo Martelli the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Mantova are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Virtus Entella are 16th (lower half) with 10.

Current form

Mantova, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Cesena, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Virtus Entella, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Pescara, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Mantova, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.6 for Virtus Entella.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mantova 1.6 xG, Virtus Entella 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Mantova 51%, draw 25%, Virtus Entella 24%.
Lower-risk option: Mantova or draw (76%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Mantova or draw (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mantova 1–0 Virtus Entella. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mantova51%fair 1.96 · @1.97

Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.35

Virtus Entella24%fair 4.18 · @3.80

2.54Expected goals

1.61Mantova xG

0.92Virtus Entella xG

54%Both score

47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%

1–112%

2–010%

2–110%

0–08%

0–17%

From our goals model: Mantova 1.6 – 0.9 Virtus Entella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Mantova to win ✓	51%	1.96	1.97
Double chance	Mantova or draw ✓	76%	1.31	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	54%	1.85	1.77
Draw no bet	Mantova (draw no bet) ✓	68%	1.47	–
Asian handicap	Virtus Entella +1 (Asian handicap)	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	71%	1.40	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	53%	1.89	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	1.09
First team to score	Mantova to score first ✓	59%	1.71	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	43%	2.33	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Mantova / FT Mantova ✗	33%	3.08	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.52	–

Mantova – last 5

WWLDW

17 Mar	vs Cesena	3–0	W
8 Mar	vs Juve Stabia	2–0	W
4 Mar	@ Palermo	1–2	L
1 Mar	vs Carrarese	1–1	D
21 Feb	vs Sampdoria	2–1	W

1.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

60%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

Virtus Entella – last 5

LLWLL

18 Mar	@ Pescara	0–3	L
15 Mar	vs Avellino	1–2	L
3 Mar	vs Modena	2–1	W
27 Feb	@ Monza	0–2	L
21 Feb	vs Catanzaro	1–3	L

0.8Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

60%Both scored

80%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	11	8	3	0	+12	27
2	Modena	11	7	2	2	+10	23
3	Ascoli	11	5	5	1	+10	20
4	Mantova	11	5	4	2	+4	19
5	Avellino	11	4	4	3	+5	16
6	Benevento	11	4	4	3	+4	16
7	Hellas Verona	11	4	4	3	+6	16
8	Pisa	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Cremonese	11	4	3	4	+2	15
10	Padova	11	4	3	4	-1	15
11	Cesena	11	3	6	2	-2	15
12	Sudtirol	11	3	6	2	+1	15
13	Juve Stabia	11	4	4	3	+1	12
14	Arezzo	11	3	2	6	-11	11
15	Sampdoria	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Virtus Entella	11	2	4	5	-3	10
17	Carrarese	11	3	1	7	-5	10
18	Vicenza Virtus	11	2	3	6	-10	9
19	Empoli	11	2	3	6	-7	9
20	Catanzaro	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Team

Pts

+12

+10

+10

-1

-2

-11

-7

-3

-5

-10

-7

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mantova vs Virtus Entella?

Our pick is Mantova or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Mantova vs Virtus Entella?

On our numbers Mantova have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Virtus Entella 24%.

How many goals will there be in Mantova vs Virtus Entella?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Virtus Entella?

Our predicted score is Mantova 1–0 Virtus Entella, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Mantova vs Virtus Entella?

Mantova vs Virtus Entella (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Danilo Martelli.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Mantova v Virtus Entella: numbers & prediction