Sampdoria vs Empoli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sampdoria welcome Empoli to Stadio Luigi Ferraris for a Serie B fixture on Monday 6 April (16:15 WAT). In the table, Sampdoria are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Empoli are 19th (in the drop zone) with 9. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sampdoria, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Avellino, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Empoli, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Pescara, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sampdoria 1.3 xG, Empoli 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sampdoria 41%, draw 27%, Empoli 32%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sampdoria 1–1 Empoli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sampdoria41%fair 2.47 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.15
Empoli32%fair 3.09 · @3.20
2.49Expected goals
1.31Sampdoria xG
1.18Empoli xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sampdoria 1.3 – 1.2 Empoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sampdoria to win✓
41%
2.47
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Draw no bet
Sampdoria (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Empoli +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Sampdoria to score first✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sampdoria / FT Sampdoria✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.88
–
Recent results
Sampdoria – last 6
WLLDLL
22 Mar
vs Avellino
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Carrarese
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Frosinone
0–3
L
4 Mar
@ Juve Stabia
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Bari
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Mantova
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Empoli – last 6
WDLLDD
22 Mar
vs Pescara
4–2
W
17 Mar
@ Spezia
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Catanzaro
2–3
L
4 Mar
@ Bari
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Frosinone
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Reggiana
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sampdoria and Empoli.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sampdoria vs Empoli?
On our numbers Sampdoria have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Empoli 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sampdoria vs Empoli?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sampdoria vs Empoli?
Our predicted score is Sampdoria 1–1 Empoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sampdoria vs Empoli?
Sampdoria vs Empoli (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Reggiana1
Pescara3
Venezia3
Monza1
Bari3
Spezia1