14:00 WAT, Monday 6 April: Bari v Modena in the Serie B, played at Stadio San Nicola.
Current form
Bari, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Carrarese, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Modena, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Spezia, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Modena, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Bari.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bari 1.0 xG, Modena 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bari 24%, draw 27%, Modena 49%.
Lower-risk option: Modena or draw (76%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bari 0–1 Modena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bari24%fair 4.12 · @4.30
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.40
Modena49%fair 2.04 · @1.84
2.29Expected goals
0.99Bari xG
1.30Modena xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Bari 1.0 – 1.3 Modena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Modena to win✗
49%
2.04
1.84
Double chance
Modena or draw✗
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.80
Draw no bet
Modena (draw no bet)✗
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Bari +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.10
First team to score
Modena to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Modena / FT Modena✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
Bari – last 6
LLLWWD
22 Mar
vs Carrarese
0–3
L
18 Mar
@ Frosinone
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Pescara
0–4
L
4 Mar
vs Empoli
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Sampdoria
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Padova
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Modena – last 3
WLW
13 Mar
vs Spezia
3–0
W
3 Mar
@ Virtus Entella
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Juve Stabia
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bari and Modena.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Bari vs Modena?
On our numbers Bari have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Modena 49%.
How many goals will there be in Bari vs Modena?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bari vs Modena?
Our predicted score is Bari 0–1 Modena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bari vs Modena?
Bari vs Modena (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio San Nicola.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Reggiana1
Pescara3
Venezia3
Monza1
Spezia1