Carrarese v Spezia Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCarrarese to win ✓37% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.50

Carrarese vs Spezia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Spezia travel to face Carrarese on Monday 6 April in the Serie B, with Stadio dei Marmi the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT.

Current form

Carrarese, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Bari, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Spezia, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Empoli, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Carrarese, collecting 1.6 points per game to 1.0 for Spezia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Carrarese 1.1 xG, Spezia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Carrarese 37%, draw 27%, Spezia 36%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Spezia to win @3.85 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carrarese 1–1 Spezia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Carrarese37%fair 2.69 · @2.00

Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.20

Spezia36%fair 2.79 · @3.85

2.40Expected goals

1.07Carrarese xG

1.33Spezia xG

54%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–112%

1–010%

0–09%

1–29%

0–28%

From our goals model: Carrarese 1.1 – 1.3 Spezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Carrarese to win ✓	37%	2.69	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	73%	1.37	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	54%	1.84	1.75
Draw no bet	Carrarese (draw no bet) ✓	51%	1.96	–
Asian handicap	Carrarese +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	75%	1.34	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.82	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	75%	1.33	1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	1.10
First team to score	Spezia to score first ✗	50%	1.99	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	45%	2.22	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Spezia / FT Spezia ✗	25%	4.04	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	7%	14.50	–

Carrarese – last 5

WWLDD

22 Mar	@ Bari	3–0	W
18 Mar	vs Sampdoria	2–0	W
8 Mar	vs Palermo	0–1	L
4 Mar	vs Catanzaro	3–3	D
1 Mar	@ Mantova	1–1	D

1.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

40%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

Spezia – last 5

DLDWL

17 Mar	vs Empoli	1–1	D
13 Mar	@ Modena	0–3	L
3 Mar	@ Padova	2–2	D
21 Feb	@ Cesena	3–2	W
15 Feb	vs Frosinone	0–2	L

1.2Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

60%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	11	8	3	0	+12	27
2	Modena	11	7	2	2	+10	23
3	Ascoli	11	5	5	1	+10	20
4	Mantova	11	5	4	2	+4	19
5	Avellino	11	4	4	3	+5	16
6	Benevento	11	4	4	3	+4	16
7	Hellas Verona	11	4	4	3	+6	16
8	Pisa	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Cremonese	11	4	3	4	+2	15
10	Padova	11	4	3	4	-1	15
11	Cesena	11	3	6	2	-2	15
12	Sudtirol	11	3	6	2	+1	15
13	Juve Stabia	11	4	4	3	+1	12
14	Arezzo	11	3	2	6	-11	11
15	Sampdoria	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Virtus Entella	11	2	4	5	-3	10
17	Carrarese	11	3	1	7	-5	10
18	Vicenza Virtus	11	2	3	6	-10	9
19	Empoli	11	2	3	6	-7	9
20	Catanzaro	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Team

Pts

+12

+10

+10

-1

-2

-11

-7

-3

-5

-10

-7

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Carrarese vs Spezia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Carrarese vs Spezia?

On our numbers Carrarese have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Spezia 36%.

How many goals will there be in Carrarese vs Spezia?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Carrarese vs Spezia?

Our predicted score is Carrarese 1–1 Spezia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Carrarese vs Spezia?

Carrarese vs Spezia (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio dei Marmi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Carrarese v Spezia: numbers & prediction