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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Virtus Entella v Carrarese: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Italy · Stadio Enrico Sannazzari

Virtus Entella

LLLLW
2–1
FT

Carrarese

DDWWW
Virtus Entella 53%Draw 25%Carrarese 21% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.00
71%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultVirtus Entella to win ✓53% · @1.57
Double chanceVirtus Entella or draw ✓79% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.12

Virtus Entella vs Carrarese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Virtus Entella welcome Carrarese to Stadio Enrico Sannazzari for a Serie B fixture on Friday 8 May (19:30 WAT). In the table, Virtus Entella are 16th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; Carrarese are 17th (lower half) with 10. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Virtus Entella, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bari, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Carrarese, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cesena, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Carrarese, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Virtus Entella.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Virtus Entella 1.4 xG, Carrarese 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Virtus Entella 53%, draw 25%, Carrarese 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Virtus Entella or draw (79%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.48 – longer than our fair 1.41, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Virtus Entella 1–0 Carrarese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Virtus Entella53%fair 1.87 · @1.57
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @4.10
Carrarese21%fair 4.74 · @5.30
2.42Expected goals
1.43Virtus Entella xG
1.00Carrarese xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
2–09%
2–19%
0–09%
0–19%

From our goals model: Virtus Entella 1.4 – 1.0 Carrarese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVirtus Entella to win ✓53%1.871.57
Double chanceVirtus Entella or draw ✓79%1.271.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.67
Draw no betVirtus Entella (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapCarrarese +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.981.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.18
First team to scoreVirtus Entella to score first ✓54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Virtus Entella / FT Virtus Entella ✓28%3.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.12–

Recent results

Virtus Entella – last 6

LLLLWL
1 May@ Bari0–2L
6 Apr@ Mantova0–1L
18 Mar@ Pescara0–3L
15 Marvs Avellino1–2L
3 Marvs Modena2–1W
27 Feb@ Monza0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Carrarese – last 6

DDWWWL
1 Mayvs Cesena0–0D
19 Aprvs Pescara2–2D
6 Aprvs Spezia3–1W
22 Mar@ Bari3–0W
18 Marvs Sampdoria2–0W
8 Marvs Palermo0–1L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Virtus Entella and Carrarese.

Virtus Entella vs Carrarese head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Palermo11830+1227
2Modena11722+1023
3Ascoli11551+1020
4Mantova11542+419
5Avellino11443+516
6Benevento11443+416
7Hellas Verona11443+616
8Pisa11443+316
9Cremonese11434+215
10Padova11434-115
11Cesena11362-215
12Sudtirol11362+115
13Juve Stabia11443+112
14Arezzo11326-1111
15Sampdoria11326-711
16Virtus Entella11245-310
17Carrarese11317-510
18Vicenza Virtus11236-109
19Empoli11236-79
20Catanzaro11137-126

More Serie B predictions

League hub
FT Pescara1 Spezia1 138%2.10X25%3.65236%3.10 1.3–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.55 ✓
FT Avellino1 Modena0 149%1.90X26%3.45225%3.95 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Sudtirol1 Juve Stabia1 153%1.50X24%4.10223%6.20 1.4–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.42 ✓
FT Venezia2 Palermo0 151%1.66X22%4.00227%4.60 1.6–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Cesena3 Padova4 156%1.50X23%4.40221%5.70 1.5–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓
FT Reggiana1 Sampdoria0 135%3.55X26%3.25239%2.10 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Monza2 Empoli2 156%1.66X23%3.95221%4.65 1.9–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Frosinone5 Mantova0 160%1.61X22%4.20218%4.70 2.0–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.62 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?

On our numbers Virtus Entella have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Carrarese 21%.

How many goals will there be in Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?

Our predicted score is Virtus Entella 1–0 Carrarese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?

Virtus Entella vs Carrarese (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Enrico Sannazzari.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.