On Friday 8 May the Serie B brings Cesena against Padova at Stadio Dino Manuzzi. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Cesena are 11th, lower half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Padova are 10th (upper half) with 15. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cesena, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Carrarese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Padova, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pescara, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Padova, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.4 for Cesena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cesena 1.5 xG, Padova 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cesena 56%, draw 23%, Padova 21%.
Lower-risk option: Cesena or draw (79%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cesena 1–1 Padova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cesena56%fair 1.80 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @4.40
Padova21%fair 4.68 · @5.70
2.60Expected goals
1.55Cesena xG
1.06Padova xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cesena 1.5 – 1.1 Padova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cesena to win✗
56%
1.80
1.50
Double chance
Cesena or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.70
Draw no bet
Cesena (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Padova +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.18
First team to score
Cesena to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cesena / FT Cesena✗
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.68
–
Recent results
Cesena – last 5
DDLLL
1 May
@ Carrarese
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Sudtirol
1–1
D
17 Mar
@ Mantova
0–3
L
3 Mar
vs Monza
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Spezia
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Padova – last 5
WLLDD
1 May
vs Pescara
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Frosinone
0–2
L
17 Mar
@ Venezia
1–3
L
3 Mar
vs Spezia
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Bari
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cesena and Padova.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cesena vs Padova?
On our numbers Cesena have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Padova 21%.
How many goals will there be in Cesena vs Padova?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cesena vs Padova?
Our predicted score is Cesena 1–1 Padova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cesena vs Padova?
Cesena vs Padova (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Dino Manuzzi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pescara1
Spezia1
Venezia2
Reggiana1
Monza2
Frosinone5