Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultMonza to win ✗56% · @1.66
Double chanceMonza or draw ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Monza vs Empoli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Monza welcome Empoli to Brianteo for a Serie B fixture on Friday 8 May (19:30 WAT).
Current form
Monza, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Mantova, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Empoli, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Avellino, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Monza, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Empoli.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monza 1.9 xG, Empoli 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monza 56%, draw 23%, Empoli 21%.
Lower-risk option: Monza or draw (79%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monza 1–1 Empoli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monza56%fair 1.78 · @1.66
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.95
Empoli21%fair 4.72 · @4.65
2.97Expected goals
1.85Monza xG
1.12Empoli xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Monza 1.9 – 1.1 Empoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monza to win✗
56%
1.78
1.66
Double chance
Monza or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Draw no bet
Monza (draw no bet)
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Empoli +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
First team to score
Monza to score first
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Monza ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monza / FT Monza✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Monza – last 6
LWWDDW
1 May
@ Mantova
2–3
L
24 Apr
vs Modena
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Sampdoria
3–0
W
6 Apr
@ Catanzaro
1–1
D
17 Mar
@ Reggiana
0–0
D
3 Mar
@ Cesena
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Empoli – last 6
WLWDLL
1 May
vs Avellino
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ Sampdoria
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Pescara
4–2
W
17 Mar
@ Spezia
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Catanzaro
2–3
L
4 Mar
@ Bari
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monza and Empoli.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Monza vs Empoli?
On our numbers Monza have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Empoli 21%.
How many goals will there be in Monza vs Empoli?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monza vs Empoli?
Our predicted score is Monza 1–1 Empoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Monza vs Empoli?
Monza vs Empoli (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Brianteo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pescara1
Spezia1
Venezia2
Reggiana1
Frosinone5