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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Venezia v Palermo: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Italy · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia

DWWWW
2–0
FT

Palermo

WDWDW
Venezia 51%Draw 22%Palermo 27% Expected goals 1.65 – 1.41
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultVenezia to win ✓51% · @1.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12

Venezia vs Palermo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:30 WAT, Friday 8 May: Venezia v Palermo in the Serie B, played at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo.

Current form

Venezia, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Spezia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.

Palermo, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Catanzaro, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Venezia 1.6 xG, Palermo 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Venezia 51%, draw 22%, Palermo 27%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Venezia 1–1 Palermo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Venezia51%fair 1.95 · @1.66
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @4.00
Palermo27%fair 3.74 · @4.60
3.06Expected goals
1.65Venezia xG
1.41Palermo xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%

From our goals model: Venezia 1.6 – 1.4 Palermo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVenezia to win ✓51%1.951.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.571.62
Draw no betVenezia (draw no bet) ✓66%1.52–
Asian handicapPalermo +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.261.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.721.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.571.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.18
First team to scoreVenezia to score first ✓51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT Venezia / FT Venezia ✗26%3.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.12–

Recent results

Venezia – last 5

DWWWW
1 May@ Spezia2–2D
6 Aprvs Juve Stabia3–1W
17 Marvs Padova3–1W
3 Marvs Avellino4–0W
21 Febvs Pescara3–2W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Palermo – last 6

WDWDWW
1 Mayvs Catanzaro3–2W
10 Apr@ Frosinone1–1D
5 Aprvs Avellino2–0W
17 Marvs Juve Stabia2–2D
8 Mar@ Carrarese1–0W
4 Marvs Mantova2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Venezia and Palermo.

Venezia vs Palermo head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Palermo11830+1227
2Modena11722+1023
3Ascoli11551+1020
4Mantova11542+419
5Avellino11443+516
6Benevento11443+416
7Hellas Verona11443+616
8Pisa11443+316
9Cremonese11434+215
10Padova11434-115
11Cesena11362-215
12Sudtirol11362+115
13Juve Stabia11443+112
14Arezzo11326-1111
15Sampdoria11326-711
16Virtus Entella11245-310
17Carrarese11317-510
18Vicenza Virtus11236-109
19Empoli11236-79
20Catanzaro11137-126

More Serie B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Venezia vs Palermo?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Venezia vs Palermo?

On our numbers Venezia have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Palermo 27%.

How many goals will there be in Venezia vs Palermo?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Venezia vs Palermo?

Our predicted score is Venezia 1–1 Palermo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Venezia vs Palermo?

Venezia vs Palermo (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.