Chateauroux vs Villefranche: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chateauroux welcome Villefranche to Stade Gaston Petit for a National 1 fixture on Friday 13 March (19:30 WAT).
Current form
Chateauroux, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Caen, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Villefranche, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Valenciennes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chateauroux 1.6 xG, Villefranche 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chateauroux 46%, draw 25%, Villefranche 30%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chateauroux 1–1 Villefranche. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chateauroux46%fair 2.19 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.10
Villefranche30%fair 3.37 · @3.10
2.74Expected goals
1.59Chateauroux xG
1.15Villefranche xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Chateauroux 1.6 – 1.1 Villefranche expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chateauroux to win✗
46%
2.19
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.85
Draw no bet
Chateauroux (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Villefranche +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Chateauroux to score first✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chateauroux / FT Chateauroux✗
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.65
–
Recent results
Chateauroux – last 3
DLL
6 Mar
@ Caen
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Gobelins
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Rouen
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Villefranche – last 4
LLLD
6 Mar
vs Valenciennes
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Sochaux
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Dijon
1–2
L
13 Feb
@ Fleury 91
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chateauroux and Villefranche.
What is the prediction for Chateauroux vs Villefranche?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Chateauroux vs Villefranche?
On our numbers Chateauroux have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Villefranche 30%.
How many goals will there be in Chateauroux vs Villefranche?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chateauroux vs Villefranche?
Our predicted score is Chateauroux 1–1 Villefranche, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chateauroux vs Villefranche?
Chateauroux vs Villefranche (National 1) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Gaston Petit.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dijon2
Stade Briochin2
Sochaux2