Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDijon to win ✓67% · @1.50
Double chanceDijon or draw ✓88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.59
Dijon vs Aubagne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aubagne travel to face Dijon on Friday 13 March in the National 1, with Stade Gaston-Gérard the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT.
Current form
Dijon, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Concarneau, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Aubagne, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Fleury 91, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Dijon, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Aubagne.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dijon 2.0 xG, Aubagne 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dijon 67%, draw 21%, Aubagne 12%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dijon 2–0 Aubagne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dijon67%fair 1.50 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.60
Aubagne12%fair 8.10 · @6.20
2.76Expected goals
2.05Dijon xG
0.71Aubagne xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
3–16%
From our goals model: Dijon 2.0 – 0.7 Aubagne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dijon to win✓
67%
1.50
1.50
Double chance
Dijon or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Dijon (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Dijon -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Dijon to score first✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Dijon ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dijon / FT Dijon✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.59
–
Recent results
Dijon – last 3
DWD
6 Mar
@ Concarneau
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Villefranche
2–1
W
13 Feb
vs Caen
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Aubagne – last 4
LLLW
6 Mar
vs Fleury 91
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Versailles
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Quevilly
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dijon and Aubagne.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Dijon vs Aubagne?
On our numbers Dijon have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aubagne 12%.
How many goals will there be in Dijon vs Aubagne?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dijon vs Aubagne?
Our predicted score is Dijon 2–0 Aubagne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Dijon vs Aubagne?
Dijon vs Aubagne (National 1) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Gaston-Gérard.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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