Value bet: Caen to win @ 3.45 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLe Puy Foot to win ✓41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90
Le Puy Foot vs Caen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 13 March the National 1 brings Le Puy Foot against Caen at Stade Charles Massot. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Le Puy Foot are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 12 matches; Caen are 3rd (among the top four) with 22.
Current form
Le Puy Foot, last 4: WDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gobelins, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Caen, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Chateauroux, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Le Puy Foot, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Caen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Le Puy Foot 1.4 xG, Caen 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Le Puy Foot 41%, draw 26%, Caen 33%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Caen to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Le Puy Foot 1–1 Caen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Le Puy Foot41%fair 2.42 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.10
Caen33%fair 3.03 · @3.45
2.65Expected goals
1.36Le Puy Foot xG
1.29Caen xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Le Puy Foot 1.4 – 1.3 Caen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Le Puy Foot to win✓
41%
2.42
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Le Puy Foot (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Caen +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Le Puy Foot to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Le Puy Foot / FT Le Puy Foot✓
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.90
–
Recent results
Le Puy Foot – last 4
WDDD
6 Mar
@ Gobelins
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Stade Briochin
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Rouen
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Orleans
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Caen – last 3
DLD
6 Mar
vs Chateauroux
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Sochaux
1–3
L
13 Feb
@ Dijon
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Le Puy Foot and Caen.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Le Puy Foot vs Caen?
On our numbers Le Puy Foot have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Caen 33%.
How many goals will there be in Le Puy Foot vs Caen?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Le Puy Foot vs Caen?
Our predicted score is Le Puy Foot 1–1 Caen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Le Puy Foot vs Caen?
Le Puy Foot vs Caen (National 1) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Charles Massot.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chateauroux0
Dijon2
Stade Briochin2
Sochaux2