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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rouen v Stade Briochin: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France · Stade Robert Diochon
3–2
FT
Rouen 61%Draw 24%Stade Briochin 15% Expected goals 1.73 – 0.77
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRouen to win ✓61% · @1.53
Double chanceRouen or draw ✓85% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58

Rouen vs Stade Briochin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 13 March the National 1 brings Rouen against Stade Briochin at Stade Robert Diochon. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT.

Current form

Rouen, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Bourg-en-bresse 01, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Stade Briochin, last 4: LDLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Orleans, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rouen 1.7 xG, Stade Briochin 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rouen 61%, draw 24%, Stade Briochin 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rouen 1–0 Stade Briochin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rouen61%fair 1.63 · @1.53
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.70
Stade Briochin15%fair 6.71 · @5.80
2.50Expected goals
1.73Rouen xG
0.77Stade Briochin xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Rouen 1.7 – 0.8 Stade Briochin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRouen to win ✓61%1.631.53
Double chanceRouen or draw ✓85%1.181.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.852.10 ▲
Draw no betRouen (draw no bet) ✓80%1.24–
Asian handicapRouen -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.331.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
First team to scoreRouen to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultRouen ahead at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rouen / FT Rouen ✓38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.58–

Recent results

Rouen – last 3

LDW
6 Mar@ Bourg-en-bresse 011–3L
20 Febvs Le Puy Foot1–1D
13 Feb@ Chateauroux2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Stade Briochin – last 4

LDLW
6 Marvs Orleans1–3L
27 Feb@ Le Puy Foot1–1D
17 Febvs Fleury 912–3L
13 Feb@ Valenciennes2–1W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rouen and Stade Briochin.

Rouen vs Stade Briochin head-to-head page →

National 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche VF12831+927
2Rouen12822+1326
3Caen12714+722
4Versailles12714+522
5Amiens12552+1120
6Concarneau12552+520
7Cannes12462+618
8Le Puy Foot12534+318
9Gobelins12444-116
10Quevilly12444-316
11Thionville Lusitanos12444016
12Fleury 9112444+216
13Bastia12435-415
14Orleans12255-511
15Valenciennes12246-610
16Villefranche12228-168
17Aubagne12219-137
18Bourg-en-bresse 0112138-136

More National 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rouen vs Stade Briochin?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Rouen vs Stade Briochin?

On our numbers Rouen have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stade Briochin 15%.

How many goals will there be in Rouen vs Stade Briochin?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rouen vs Stade Briochin?

Our predicted score is Rouen 1–0 Stade Briochin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Rouen vs Stade Briochin?

Rouen vs Stade Briochin (National 1) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Diochon.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.