Sochaux vs Concarneau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sochaux welcome Concarneau to Stade Auguste Bonal for a National 1 fixture on Friday 13 March (19:30 WAT).
Current form
Sochaux, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Villefranche, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Concarneau, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dijon, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sochaux, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Concarneau.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sochaux 1.2 xG, Concarneau 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sochaux 46%, draw 27%, Concarneau 27%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sochaux 1–1 Concarneau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sochaux46%fair 2.16 · @1.80
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.30
Concarneau27%fair 3.69 · @4.10
2.26Expected goals
1.21Sochaux xG
1.05Concarneau xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sochaux 1.2 – 1.0 Concarneau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sochaux to win✓
46%
2.16
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.85
Draw no bet
Sochaux (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Concarneau +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Sochaux to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sochaux / FT Sochaux✓
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.44
–
Recent results
Sochaux – last 3
WWD
27 Feb
vs Villefranche
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Caen
3–1
W
13 Feb
vs Gobelins
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Concarneau – last 3
DWL
6 Mar
vs Dijon
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Fleury 91
4–0
W
20 Feb
vs Versailles
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sochaux and Concarneau.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sochaux vs Concarneau?
On our numbers Sochaux have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Concarneau 27%.
How many goals will there be in Sochaux vs Concarneau?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sochaux vs Concarneau?
Our predicted score is Sochaux 1–1 Concarneau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sochaux vs Concarneau?
Sochaux vs Concarneau (National 1) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Auguste Bonal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chateauroux0
Dijon2
Stade Briochin2