Atlético Madrid II 54%Draw 24%Antequera 21%Expected goals 1.70 – 1.10
71%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.45
7/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 55% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAtlético Madrid II to win54% · @1.80
Double chanceAtlético Madrid II or draw79% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.34
Atlético Madrid II vs Antequera: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:15 WAT, Sunday 29 March: Atlético Madrid II v Antequera in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, played at Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares. In the table, Atlético Madrid II are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Antequera are 12th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Atlético Madrid II, last 4: WDLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Tarazona, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Antequera, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sevilla Atletico, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Madrid II 1.7 xG, Antequera 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Madrid II 54%, draw 24%, Antequera 21%.
Lower-risk option: Atlético Madrid II or draw (79%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.45 – longer than our fair 1.42, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Madrid II 1–1 Antequera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Madrid II54%fair 1.84 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.10
Antequera21%fair 4.65 · @4.50
2.80Expected goals
1.70Atlético Madrid II xG
1.10Antequera xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Atlético Madrid II 1.7 – 1.1 Antequera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atlético Madrid II
Antequera
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+29%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
+27%
-5%
Our expected goals here
2.05
1.54
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Madrid II to win
54%
1.84
1.80
Double chance
Atlético Madrid II or draw
79%
1.27
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.81
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Atlético Madrid II (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Antequera +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.42
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.86
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Atlético Madrid II to score first
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético Madrid II / FT Atlético Madrid II
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.34
–
Recent results
Atlético Madrid II – last 4
WDLW
15 Mar
@ Tarazona
4–1
W
8 Mar
vs Hércules
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Gimnastic
1–2
L
13 Feb
@ Sanluqueño
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Antequera – last 5
DWWLW
15 Mar
@ Sevilla Atletico
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Algeciras
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Gimnastic
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Europa Fc
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Hércules
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Madrid II and Antequera.
What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid II vs Antequera?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Atlético Madrid II vs Antequera?
On our numbers Atlético Madrid II have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Antequera 21%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Madrid II vs Antequera?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Madrid II vs Antequera?
Our predicted score is Atlético Madrid II 1–1 Antequera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atlético Madrid II vs Antequera?
Atlético Madrid II vs Antequera (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sabadell1
Sevilla Atletico0
Tarazona1
Eldense2
Marbella0