Value bet: Villarreal II to win @ 2.88 – our chance 45% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVillarreal II to win ✗45% · @2.88
Double chanceVillarreal II or draw ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Villarreal II vs Sabadell: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Villarreal II welcome Sabadell to Estadio de la Ceramica for a Primera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 29 March (15:00 WAT).
Current form
Villarreal II, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Teruel, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Sabadell, last 4: DDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gimnastic, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Villarreal II, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Sabadell.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villarreal II 1.6 xG, Sabadell 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villarreal II 45%, draw 27%, Sabadell 27%.
Lower-risk option: Villarreal II or draw (73%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Villarreal II to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Villarreal II or draw (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villarreal II 1–0 Sabadell. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villarreal II45%fair 2.20 · @2.88
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.50
Sabadell27%fair 3.68 · @2.88
2.57Expected goals
1.63Villarreal II xG
0.94Sabadell xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Villarreal II 1.6 – 0.9 Sabadell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Villarreal II
Sabadell
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+41%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
-2%
Our expected goals here
2.30
0.90
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal II to win✗
45%
2.20
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Villarreal II or draw✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.93
Draw no bet
Villarreal II (draw no bet)
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Sabadell +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Villarreal II to score first
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal II / FT Villarreal II✗
32%
3.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
Villarreal II – last 3
LWW
8 Mar
@ Teruel
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Eldense
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Real Betis II
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sabadell – last 4
DDWL
13 Mar
@ Gimnastic
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ FC Cartagena
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Sanluqueño
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Ibiza
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarreal II and Sabadell.
What is the prediction for Villarreal II vs Sabadell?
Our pick is Villarreal II or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Villarreal II vs Sabadell?
On our numbers Villarreal II have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sabadell 27%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal II vs Sabadell?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal II vs Sabadell?
Our predicted score is Villarreal II 1–0 Sabadell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Villarreal II vs Sabadell?
Villarreal II vs Sabadell (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sevilla Atletico0
Tarazona1
Eldense2
Marbella0