Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓16% · fair 6.27
Sevilla Atletico vs Real Murcia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Sunday 29 March: Sevilla Atletico v Real Murcia in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, played at Estadio Jesus Navas.
Current form
Sevilla Atletico, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Marbella, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Real Murcia, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Hércules, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sevilla Atletico 0.8 xG, Real Murcia 1.1 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sevilla Atletico 23%, draw 30%, Real Murcia 47%.
Lower-risk option: Real Murcia or draw (77%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sevilla Atletico 0–1 Real Murcia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sevilla Atletico23%fair 4.31 · @4.40
Draw30%fair 3.38 · @3.10
Real Murcia47%fair 2.12 · @1.83
1.92Expected goals
0.83Sevilla Atletico xG
1.09Real Murcia xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–015%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sevilla Atletico 0.8 – 1.1 Real Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sevilla Atletico
Real Murcia
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
-16%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-29%
Our expected goals here
0.99
0.94
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Murcia to win✓
47%
2.12
1.83
Double chance
Real Murcia or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.48
Draw no bet
Real Murcia (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Sevilla Atletico +1 (Asian handicap)
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Real Murcia to score first✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Murcia / FT Real Murcia✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
16%
6.27
–
Recent results
Sevilla Atletico – last 6
LDLLLL
22 Mar
@ Marbella
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Antequera
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Real Betis II
1–3
L
25 Feb
@ FC Cartagena
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Tarazona
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Teruel
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Murcia – last 5
LDLLL
15 Mar
@ Hércules
0–2
L
11 Mar
vs Marbella
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Sanluqueño
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs FC Cartagena
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Alcorcon
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevilla Atletico and Real Murcia.
What is the prediction for Sevilla Atletico vs Real Murcia?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Sevilla Atletico vs Real Murcia?
On our numbers Sevilla Atletico have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Real Murcia 47%.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla Atletico vs Real Murcia?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevilla Atletico vs Real Murcia?
Our predicted score is Sevilla Atletico 0–1 Real Murcia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Sevilla Atletico vs Real Murcia?
Sevilla Atletico vs Real Murcia (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jesus Navas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sabadell1
Tarazona1
Eldense2
Marbella0